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After picking up early momentum in the cycle, Democratic presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg has seen his national poll numbers weaken in recent weeks.
A new survey from Emerson Polling released Tuesday shows the South Bend, Ind., mayor at 3% among Democratic primary voters and caucus-goers, trailing former Vice President Joe Biden, Sens. Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris, and even entrepreneur and political neophyte Andrew Yang. Though well within the margin of error, Mr. Yang’s 1-point edge over Mr. Buttigieg marks the first time he ranked above him in Emerson’s national polls.
In a hypothetical matchup with President Trump, the survey showed Mr. Buttigieg with 49% among registered voters compared with Mr. Trump’s 51%. Of the five candidates tested against the president, only Mr. Biden had a statistically significant lead of 54-46.
Mr. Buttigieg peaked in national polling in the spring, and last broke double-digits just after the first Democratic debates in June. Among Emerson’s past national polls, he is at his lowest since March, before his formal campaign launch. He has qualified for next month’s debate.
The 37-year-old Mr. Buttigieg’s leveling poll numbers indicate he has struggled to break into the top tier, which now includes Messrs. Biden and Sanders and Ms. Warren, according to the Real Clear Politics average of recent polling. His donor base, however, remains strong, and he has so far outraised all of his Democratic competitors save Mr. Sanders and Ms. Warren.
“Mayor Pete has raised enough money to stay in the race for now but will need a strong debate performance to remain relevant,” Spencer Kimball, director of Emerson Polling, said in the poll’s release.
In Iowa and New Hampshire, sites of the first two contests of the primary season, polling showed a similar slip from June for Mr. Buttigieg, as Ms. Warren’s candidacy gained momentum. But in those early states, which serve as important indicators for presidential campaigns, he polls at least twice as high as he does nationally.
After announcing his candidacy in April, Mr. Buttigieg attracted national attention by touting his leadership experience in South Bend and his military experience. If elected, he would be both the youngest and first openly gay president ever.
The margins of error for the 627 Democratic primary voters and 1,458 registered voters in the latest Emerson Poll, which was conducted from Aug. 24-26, were plus or minus 3.9 percentage points and 2.5 percentage points, respectively.
Write to Jesse Naranjo at jesse.naranjo@wsj.com
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