While many companies are waiting to see how the ongoing trade uncertainty plays out, some finance departments are already preparing for cost-cutting ahead of a possible economic slowdown.
The WSJ Leadership Institute recently polled its CEO Council and CFO Council members about whether their investment plans have changed since President Trump’s tariff announcements on April 2.
One-third (35%) of respondents said they have made plans to decrease capital expenses since then, while 61% of respondents’ capital expenditure plans haven’t changed. A small number, just 4%, actually plan to increase capital spending.
For operating expenses, respondents were almost split down the middle: 49% plan to maintain the same level of investment, while 47% have made plans to decrease spending. Again, 4% plan to increase operating expenses.
Almost three-quarters (71%) of the CEOs and CFOs who responded to last week’s survey think that a U.S. recession is very or somewhat likely in 2025. Only 15% say they think it would be very or somewhat unlikely.
Speaking during a WSJ CFO Council virtual event yesterday, Michael Leskinen, CFO of United Airlines, said that the company has moved away from providing granular data, like unit costs, unit revenue and capacity by market, which the company felt was contributing to stock price volatility, in favor of longer-term metrics.
But the company had a decision to make on how to present guidance when faced with the market volatility since President Trump began unveiling his tariff plans.
“Well, the easy button is you just pull guidance, that's what everybody has always done,” Leskinen said. “But I did not believe that was consistent with the brand of United Airlines as we're trying to talk about long-term targets, or my brand of trying to be communicative and transparent with the investor base.”
Instead, United Airlines provided two EPS estimates on its earnings call on April 15. The first set of guidance said the company still sees a path to the original guidance it had announced—holding to its earnings per share estimate of $11.50-$13.50. The second set of guidance focused on what would happen to the business in the event of a recession—and communicated an estimated earnings per share range of $7-9.
Leskinen said the company wanted to be “transparent, so that investors can have an informed view about the long-term trajectory of our business.”
—Reporting by Ben Ashwell
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