This week: New Cool Superconductor; Still Selling Sustainable Funds; Peak Shale Oil
Welcome back. The minerals, metals and rare earths needed for the green and digital transitions are shaping up to be the oil of this century—complete with a race to secure raw materials and production capacity at home or in friendly locations.
China has the early lead, dominating production of many critical materials including lithium and rare earths. Over the past years, it secured deposits around the world and invested heavily in the domestic manufacturing of clean technologies such as electric vehicles, batteries and solar panels.
Western nations have now made it a top priority to secure a supply of these materials. The West has been tempted by the economic opportunity but also chastened by the recent semiconductor shortages, Europe’s efforts to replace Russian energy imports and Beijing’s support for Russia after it invaded Ukraine.
President Biden and former President Donald Trump both signed executive orders for critical minerals and the U.S. has had recent success in starting to build local supply chains. The EU’s latest effort—a Critical Minerals Act—aims to kick-start mining, processing and recycling in the region. Highlights of a leaked draft include a buyers club, accelerated permitting for strategic projects and ambitious production targets for 2030.
The policy is “a bit like we did in the '60s” says Simone Tagliapietra at Bruegel, an economic think tank in Belgium. He says unlike the bloc’s more successful alliance to promote local production of EV batteries, the act is more focused on setting grand targets and a grand plan rather than fixing the issues preventing corporate investment, such as high energy prices.
There is one area where the act is right on the money—accelerating permitting. It has been a key challenge for companies investing across geographies and sectors including mining, processing, power lines, solar, wind and batteries.
However the EU's ambitious permitting reforms might also be the biggest hurdle to getting political agreement on the act. Limiting or overriding local opposition is rarely a vote-winning stance. U.S. permitting reforms, meant to follow the Inflation Reduction Act , remain stalled.
It also seems we may get a G-7 critical minerals buyers club of the Group of Seven advanced democracies to secure supply from mineral rich countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America. The topic is apparently on the agenda when President Biden and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen meet in Washington.
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