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High prices, a fragile job market and anxiety about President Trump’s tariffs have helped drag consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan, down near historic lows this year. The WSJ’s Chao Deng writes that the latest numbers were slightly improved from a previous reading freighted by government shutdown disruptions, but barely.
Responses to the Michigan survey are baked into an equation that produces a number ranging from 2 to 150.2. The nation started the year in relatively decent spirits about the economy, with a reading above 70 in January. A preliminary monthly reading released in early December showed sentiment now slightly above 53, up from 51 in November. The index hit its all-time high of 112 in 2000, and bottomed out at 50 in June 2022.
Weak readings don’t mean Americans aren’t spending, or that the economy is stalling. Retailers have reported signs of a solid holiday shopping season. Still, less-affluent households have been pulling back on routine purchases, while upper- and middle-income consumers race ahead. And retail-sales growth has cooled amid concerns about tariffs affecting prices.
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