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Creditor negotiations are tilting back in favor of lenders as widening spreads, falling loan values and heightened market uncertainty make private credit funds more selective, according to advisory firm Lincoln International.
Concerns that software companies could underperform because of artificial intelligence-driven disruption, along with uncertainty surrounding the Iran war, have reduced lenders’ willingness to deploy capital, said Ron Kahn, co-head of Lincoln International’s global valuations and opinions group.
“You have an environment where these private credit funds are a little bit less apt to put money out than they were a few months ago,” Kahn said.
Reduced competition among lenders has allowed private credit funds to offer less leverage and impose tighter covenants on deals. “Borrowers have to take it,” he said.
Default rates remained steady in the first quarter at 3.1% of loans tracked by Lincoln International. Payment-in-kind (PIK) interest also held constant at 10.6% of all loans, consistent with levels observed in 2025, the firm said.
What has changed is an uptick in lender takeovers over the past two years, Kahn said. In 2025, lenders took control of $24 billion in loans across 43 transactions, followed by $15 billion across 19 deals so far in 2026. That compares with $10 billion in 2024 and $2.7 billion in 2023, he said.
–Alicia McElhaney
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