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How War in Iran Is Colliding With Trump’s Economic Priorities

  • The war with Iran is causing domestic economic challenges for President Trump, including rising gasoline prices and market instability, ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
  • The attacks on Iran also halted a U.S. government bond rally, pushing up the 10-year Treasury note yield.
  • A sustained war throughout the Middle East could deepen the disruption, either by stoking inflation or raising anxieties that could damp consumer spending and slow economic growth.

 
Eurozone Growth Revised Lower for Fourth Quarter, Dragged by Irish Contraction

  • Eurozone economic growth in Q4 last year was revised down to 0.2% from 0.3% due to a larger contraction in Ireland.
  • Ireland’s economy contracted 3.8% in Q4, exceeding the 0.6% decline estimated in February; its GDP is volatile.
  • Irish GDP for all of 2025 was 12.3% higher than in 2024, while eurozone GDP grew 1.5% in 2025.
U.S. Jobless Claims Were Unchanged Last Week

  • U.S. jobless claims held steady at 213,000 in the week through Feb. 28, indicating employers are retaining staff.
  • Continuing jobless claims rose to 1.87 million in the week through Feb. 21, up from 1.82 million a week earlier.
  • ADP’s monthly report showed the economy added 63,000 jobs last month, following a revised 11,000 in January.
Southeast Asia Governments on Alert for Economic Impact of Iran Crisis

  • Southeast Asian governments are taking steps to limit economic fallout from the Middle East conflict, citing higher oil prices and supply-chain disruptions.
  • Foreign ministers from the 10-member ASEAN expressed serious concern over attacks by the U.S. and Israel, and Iran’s retaliatory strikes.
  • Thailand set a temporary price cap on diesel, and the Philippines is considering temporary tax cuts on fuel.
SEC Dismisses Fraud Case Against Crypto Billionaire Justin Sun

  • The Securities and Exchange Commission moved to dismiss a civil fraud lawsuit against crypto billionaire Justin Sun.
  • A company affiliated with Sun agreed to pay a $10 million fine to resolve allegations of market manipulation for a crypto asset.
  • Sun became a major investor in President Trump’s crypto projects as he pursued leniency from U.S. law enforcers.
 

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