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Powell Named as Interim Fed Leader Pending Swearing-In of Warsh

  • The Federal Reserve said outgoing Chair Jerome Powell will serve as acting leader until Kevin Warsh is sworn in.
  • Kevin Warsh was confirmed by the Senate for a four-year term as the new chair.
  • Two Fed governors disagreed with the interim arrangement’s mechanics, wanting a time-limited designation and renewal vote.

 

The Economy Kevin Warsh Is Inheriting Is Not the One He Wanted

  • Kevin Warsh, the new Fed chair nominee, faces challenges in achieving his goals of lower interest rates and a smaller balance sheet.
  • Rising inflation, fueled by the Iran war, and a stabilizing job market undercut the case for Fed rate cuts.
  • Shrinking the Fed’s $6.7 trillion balance sheet is a delicate, slow-moving project, with past attempts causing market anxiety.

China’s Economy Unexpectedly Weakens as Iran War Fallout Mounts

  • China’s economic momentum broadly slowed in April, with consumer spending, industrial output, investment, and real estate showing deterioration.
  • China’s export sector maintained strength, with 14% year-over-year growth in April, creating lopsided economic expansion.
  • The real-estate sector continued to drag on sentiment, with property investment dropping 14% in the January-to-April period.

The World Can’t Get Enough U.S. Energy, Keeping Prices High for Americans

  • U.S. energy exports are surging, depleting domestic stocks and driving up fuel prices for American consumers.
  • The Trump administration’s successful efforts to contain prices and a U.S. surplus prompted overseas buyers to purchase huge volumes.
  • The U.S. shipped 14.2 million barrels of crude and products daily late last month, roughly equivalent to one of seven barrels consumed globally in ordinary times. .

Swiss Economy Expands Again

  • Switzerland’s GDP grew 0.5% in Q1 2026, following a 0.2% expansion in Q4 2025, but the Iran war threatens its recovery.
  • The KOF Swiss Economic Institute warned rising energy prices led firms to cut investment, making watch, machinery, and electronics industries vulnerable.
  • KOF forecast 1.0% real GDP growth for 2026 and 1.7% for 2027, excluding major sporting events, under a baseline scenario.

 

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