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Amazon Braces for Tariffs; Craft Brewers Confront Commodity Status; Middle-Income Confidence Crisis Hits Big Brands

By Nat Ives

 

Good morning. Today, Amazon’s projections for the second quarter allow for some tariff trouble; brewers seek ways to keep costs down as IPAs overrun grocery stores’ beer aisles; and middle-class and lower-income Americans are in belt-tightening mode.

An Amazon delivery worker pulls a cart stacked with boxes

Amazon is projecting second-quarter sales and operating income to remain robust. PHOTO: BRENDAN MCDERMID/REUTERS

Amazon reported strong quarterly earnings that weren’t affected by new tariffs on Chinese imports, but the looming levies dimmed the company’s outlook, Sebastian Herrera reports.

It projected second-quarter net sales between $159 billion and $164 billion, as well as operating income between $13 billion and $17.5 billion. The lower ends of the forecasts, however, were outside analysts’ expectations.

“Obviously, none of us know exactly where tariffs will settle, or when,” Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said in a call with analysts.

To keep results improving and maintain margins, Amazon has pressured suppliers that have sought to charge more for products affected by tariffs.

It has also asked some of its vendors to confirm their advertisement commitments for this year.

 
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Revenue Growth Tops Priorities for Health Care Executives

Health care executives are prioritizing growth through consumer engagement, digital transformation, and operational efficiencies, with a focus on improving consumer experience and affordability. Read More

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Crafty Brewing

Full beer glasses and stacks of golden coins

Despite craft beer’s decades-long ascendance, there remains a ceiling to how much even the geekiest IPA aficionado will shell out for a brew. PHOTO: ELIZABETH COETZEE

Craft breweries’ transformation into grocery-store staples has created a new problem, Joshua M. Bernstein reports: Brands that could once charge high prices for newfangled hazy IPAs are locked in a constant price war. 

“Beer is [still] considered a commodity,” said Justin Catalana, CEO and co-founder of Fort Point Beer in San Francisco. “People talk about a six-pack’s cost the same way they do a carton of eggs.”

In April, Fort Point merged with HenHouse Brewing of Santa Rosa, Calif., consolidating brewing operations and sales and marketing teams. “We’re financially more secure together than apart,” said Catalana, who is now the CEO of Fort Point HenHouse.

Brewers are also finding ways to engineer cheaper-but-not-cheap-tasting IPAs. Ohio’s Nocterra Brewing created a new beer using pungent hops that deliver more “punch per pound,” said co-founder Bryan Duncan.

 

Quotable

“They’re literally walking,
breathing businesses.”

— Austin Elrod, founder of name-image-likeness software company TheLinkU, on the student athletes in growing demand by marketers. TheLinkU and Morgan Stanley are teaming up to offer financial services and guidance to college athletes with NIL deals.
 

Confidence Game

Customers wait for their orders at a McDonald's

McDonald’s reported its worst sales for established U.S. restaurants since the pandemic. PHOTO: MICHAEL M. SANTIAGO/GETTY IMAGES

Plunging consumer confidence is pummeling the financial results of companies that cater to middle-income households, from McDonald’s to General Motors, Theo Francis and Heather Haddon write.

McDonald’s reported its worst sales since the pandemic for established U.S. restaurants, after anxious middle- and low-income diners cut their spending. Sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles dropped by 24% from a year earlier. And Hershey said it expects a 30% drop in profits if tariffs stay as they are.

“People are just being more judicious,” McDonald’s CEO Chris Kempczinski told investors Thursday.

At McDonald’s, only higher-income consumers kept buying at a steady clip. Middle-income customers cut back on visits, and lower earners cut back more, executives said.

 

The Magic Number

95 million

Concert tickets sold by Live Nation through mid-April of this year, up double digits overall and including an 80% spike in stadium sales. The world’s largest concert promoter said it is poised for a record summer concert season, boosted by stadium tours featuring stars including Beyoncé, Kendrick Lamar and Morgan Wallen.

 

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Executive Insights

WSJ Pro logo

Each week, we share selections from WSJ Pro with insight and analysis that we hope are useful to you.

  • Carbon-removal credits are one of the few ways companies can decarbonize, but so far demand has remained limited to just a handful of buyers.
  • Getting a startup on its feet after a cyberattack can cost a fortune. More often than not, investors get stuck with the bill.
  • Tariff uncertainty and geopolitical turbulence have boosted interest in private-credit investment.
  • Brands like Mastercard and PepsiCo are shaking up their Pride spending.
 

Keep Reading

TikTok's logo hangs from a building entrance

TikTok said it would appeal a fine for failing to protect user data. PHOTO: ROBYN BECK/AFP/GETTY IMAGES

Ireland’s data-privacy watchdog fined TikTok about $600 million for failing to guarantee that user data sent to China was protected from government surveillance, a blow to the company’s efforts to convince Western countries that it is safe to use. [WSJ]

Reddit logged higher revenue and swung to a profit in the first quarter as advertising revenue rose on higher impressions and prices. [WSJ] 

Family restaurant chain Chuck E. Cheese introduced a media network, becoming the latest consumer business to get into ad sales. [QSR Magazine]

Fashion retailer Zara debuted its new store format, a spartan, tech-infused presentation at New York City’s Hudson Yards. [WWD] 

A Skechers store in Singapore deployed an AI-powered personal stylist that can advise shoppers on purchases. [Fashion United] 

LinkedIn will start giving its business-to-business video creators a cut of any ad revenue they help generate. [Bloomberg]

Vox Media sold gaming site Polygon to the digital publisher Valnet. The editor-in-chief and several other writers soon said on social media that they were looking for work. [Kotaku]

EV truck maker Rivian began its first big ad campaign, dramatizing stories of real owners. [Ad Age] 

Alcohol-free agave brand Almave is pitching SFW margaritas for Cinco de Mayo. [Adweek] 

 
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We bring you the most important (and intriguing) marketing and experience news every day. Write me at nat.ives@wsj.com any time with feedback on the newsletter or comments on specific items. We want to hear from you.

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