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Wholesale Prices Accelerated in January, PPI Data Show

  • Monthly wholesale inflation, measured by the producer-price index, unexpectedly rose 0.5% in January, exceeding economists’ 0.3% forecast.
  • Wholesale prices were up 2.9% over the 12 months through January, reflecting prices businesses receive without retail markups.
  • Analysts use producer-price index data to refine forecasts for the January personal-consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred metric.

 

Canada’s Economy Contracts in Fourth Quarter, Capping a Soft Year

  • Canada’s economy contracted at an annualized 0.6% in Q4 2025, largely due to inventory withdrawal, Statistics Canada reported.
  • Prime Minister Mark Carney’s efforts to decouple from U.S. trade saw the U.S. share of Canadian exports fall to 64%.
  • Final domestic demand grew 2.4% in Q4 2025, with increased household and government spending, despite a soft 2026 outlook.

EU to Implement Long-Awaited Mercosur Trade Deal

  • The European Union will provisionally implement a free-trade deal with four Mercosur nations, a breakthrough to boost trade.
  • The provisional deal with Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay awaits European Parliament consent.
  • Agricultural businesses and France oppose the deal, citing concerns about an influx of cheap produce.

German Inflation Inches Down, French Price Growth Rebounds

  • German inflation fell slightly in February to 2.0%, while French inflation rebounded to 1.1%, which should reassure the European Central Bank.
  • Eurozone inflation fell below the central bank’s 2% target in January, with the ECB expecting 1.9% on average this year.
  • A stronger euro and increased cheaper imports from China threaten to push inflation further below the ECB’s target.

 

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