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PE World’s Global Race for AI Adoption (And Other 2026 Trends)

By Walden Siew

Good morning, CFOs. The big trends in the private-equity world, with PE Bureau Chief Laura Kreutzer; exclusive on Amazon in talks to invest up to $50 billion in OpenAI; Shares in Microsoft dive on latest report regarding data-center spending.

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PHOTO: DADO RUVIC/REUTERS

I caught up yesterday with my colleague Laura Kreutzer, the private-equity bureau chief at WSJ Pro, to talk about some of the biggest trends that promise to shape decision-making in 2026.

During a webinar to talk about the challenges facing top executives, the WSJ Leadership Institute’s CFO Journal covered many of the highlights so far this year, particularly the concerns over geopolitical risk and AI investments. Laura shared some highlights from the PE world’s perspective.

Laura said that geopolitical uncertainty and risk, particularly as it relates to the U.S. and Europe, were focal points for private investors. She said the uncertainty has not put the industry in any kind of full-blown panic—at least not yet. She added that private equity is a long-term illiquid asset class and firms have gotten used to navigating geopolitical uncertainty, particularly following the “Liberation Day” tariff announcements last spring. Her other responses have been edited for clarity.

WSJLI: And what are you hearing about AI in the PE community?

Laura: AI, including the global race for adoption and the debate over a potential valuation bubble for AI companies, has been top of mind for private equity and venture investors. The larger private-equity firms have devoted considerable resources to incorporating machine learning and AI into their investment and portfolio management processes for a while now.

WSJLI: Interest rates and debt availability also have significant implications for private markets investors. Where do you see the biggest impact?

Laura: In the private-equity world, falling rates have actually helped revive leveraged loan markets, bringing banks back to the table, and that’s bolstered large M&A transactions and large private-equity deals. Global private-equity deal activity and value were up significantly over last year’s levels.

WSJLI: We’ve seen a fair bit of discussion about the rebound in private-equity deal activity this year, but what about fundraising?

Laura: There’s an interesting divide between fundraising activity and dealmaking. While we have seen deal and exit volume grow noticeably last year, fundraising remained muted and is probably likely to continue to be lackluster this year.

✏️ Share your thoughts. What are the most important trends for 2026 for C-suite leaders and investors? Hit Reply to this newsletter to share your feedback.

 
Content from our sponsor: Deloitte
Family Businesses Double Down on Risk Management Amid Heightened Uncertainty

Cybersecurity and economic uncertainty top the risk agenda for North American family-owned businesses, prompting new defensive measures. Read More

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The Day Ahead

📆 Earnings

  • American Express
  • Aon
  • Charter Communications
  • Chevron
  • Colgate-Palmolive
  • Exxon Mobil
  • Franklin Resources
  • LyondellBasell Industries
  • SoFi Technologies
  • Verizon Communications
 
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What Else Matters to CFOs

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy. PHOTO: BRENDAN MCDERMID/REUTERS

Speaking of AI investments, Amazon.com is in talks to invest up to $50 billion in OpenAI, according to people familiar with the matter, in what would be a giant bet on the hot AI startup.

The ChatGPT maker is seeking up to $100 billion in new capital from investors, a round that could value it at as much as $830 billion, The Wall Street Journal previously reported. SoftBank is in talks to invest up to $30 billion more in OpenAI as part of the round, adding to the Japanese conglomerate’s already large stake in the startup.

***

In the latest SEC and crypto news… President Trump’s regulators said they were ready to lay out rules that would help foster the crypto industry’s growth after legislation on the matter ran into an unexpected setback.

Key quote: “In the long term, it’s better to have legislation,” Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Paul Atkins told The Wall Street Journal. He expects the legislation to pass this year, but added that “we can make do with our authority.”

  • Exclusive: Anthropic-Pentagon Clash Over Limits on AI Puts $200 Million Contract at Risk
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📰 Other headlines

  • What CEOs Are—and Are Not—Saying About ICE and Minneapolis
  • How a BlackRock Loss Reignited Worries About What Is Hiding in Private Credit
  • OpenAI Plans Fourth-Quarter IPO in Race to Beat Anthropic to Market
  • Trump Picks New Leader for Maritime Regulator
  • Exclusive: Google Aims Knockout Blow at Chinese Company Linked to Massive Cyber Weapon
  • The GameStop CEO Has an Audacious Plan to Clinch His $35 Billion Payday
  • How Businesses Are Manipulating ChatGPT Results
  • Call Screening Is Aggravating the Rich and Powerful
  • The Crypto CEO Who’s Become Enemy No. 1 on Wall Street
  • Cracker Barrel Wants Its Staff to Eat One Thing on Work Trips: Cracker Barrel

📈 Earnings wrapup

  • Microsoft Shares Dive as Data-Center Spending Overshadows Earnings Surge
  • Meta Reports Record Sales, Massive Spending Hike on AI Buildout
  • SAP Shares Slump After Cloud Backlog, Guidance Disappoint
  • Adidas to Buy Back Stock as Revenue Rises
  • Bosch Expects Market Challenges to Remain This Year
  • LG Electronics Reports First Quarterly Net Loss in a Year
  • Swatch Posts 2025 Revenue Decline Despite Second-Half Sales Recovery
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$315 Billion

Expected size of global consulting market in 2026, a rise of 6% from last year, as companies grapple with skills shortages, the need to modernize technology, and making more effective use of AI, according to Source Global Research

 

The WSJ CFO Council Summit

This March 23–24, financial leaders will gather in Palo Alto for The WSJ CFO Council Summit to examine how CFOs are navigating market volatility, evolving trade and regulatory policy and the growing impact of AI on the future of the enterprise. Join the CFO Council and be part of the conversations shaping the future of finance and corporate leadership.

Request Invitation.

 

CFO Moves

Lazard has appointed Tracy Farr to take on the role of CFO, effective at the start of February. The New York-based company on Thursday said Farr succeeds Mary Ann Betsch, who joined Lazard in 2022. Betsch will remain on board as a senior advisor to help complete the transition, the company said. Farr most recently served as a managing director in Lazard's capital structure advisory group. Before joining Lazard, he was a certified public accountant at professional services company EY, and a researcher at the Financial Accounting Standards Board.

—Adriano Marchese contributed to today’s Ledger.

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About Us

The Wall Street Journal's CFO Journal offers corporate leaders and professionals CFO analysis, advice and commentary to make informed decisions. We cover topics including corporate tax, accounting, regulation, capital markets, management and strategy.

Follow us on X @WSJCFO. The WSJ CFO Journal Team comprises reporters Kristin Broughton, Mark Maurer and Jennifer Williams, and Bureau Chief Walden Siew.

You can reach us by replying to any newsletter, or email Walden at walden.siew@wsj.com.

 
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