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Trump Will Host Swearing-In Ceremony for New Fed Chair Warsh

  • President Trump will host an unusual White House swearing-in ceremony on Friday for incoming Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh.
  • Outgoing Chair Jerome Powell will remain as acting leader until Warsh, confirmed to a four-year term, is sworn in.
  • The last new Fed chair sworn in at the White House was Alan Greenspan in 1987, with more recent ceremonies held at the Fed.

 

Japan’s Economy Accelerated in First Quarter, Backing Case for Rate Hikes

  • Japan’s economy grew 0.5% in Q1 2026, supporting a Bank of Japan rate hike to 1.0% from 0.75% in June amid inflation.
  • The growth was driven by export recovery and government spending, though domestic demand remained gradual and fragile.
  • Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is considering a supplementary budget and energy subsidies, fueling fiscal concerns as bond yields rise.

U.K. Unemployment Inches Higher

  • The U.K.’s unemployment rate rose to 5.0% in the three months through March, up from 4.9%, as the Iran war weighs on the economy.
  • Annual wage growth, excluding bonuses, decreased to 3.4% from 3.6%, while April payrolls fell by 100,000.
  • A BDO survey found 30% of midsize U.K. firms consider hiring freezes due to Iran war-tied energy costs.

Australia’s Central Bank Could Hold Rates as It Weighs Iran Impact

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its official cash rate to 4.35%, its third straight increase, to dampen spending and assess the Iran conflict’s impact.
  • Board members judged the prior 4.10% cash rate was less restrictive due to inflation expectations, voting 8-1 for the increase.
  • Strong household spending, up 1.6% in March, and soaring fuel prices underpinned the decision to tighten policy further.

Eurozone Trade Surplus Narrowed in March

  • The eurozone’s seasonally adjusted trade surplus narrowed in March, likely reflecting increased imported energy costs due to the Middle East conflict.
  • The seasonally adjusted trade balance was 3.5 billion euros in March, a decrease from 6.5 billion euros in February.
  • The non-adjusted trade surplus fell to 7.8 billion euros in March, driven by reductions in chemicals and machinery surpluses.

U.S. Home Builder Sentiment Improved in May But Affordability Challenges Persist

  • U.S. home builder confidence improved to 37 in May from 34 in April, but remains negative due to high mortgage rates and the war in Iran.
  • Thirty-two percent of builders cut prices in May, with an average 6% reduction, as 61% used sales incentives.
  • All three major HMI indices posted gains in May, and efforts to modify the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act could help.

 

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