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The Morning Risk Report: Trump’s Head-Spinning Greenland U-Turn

By Mengqi Sun | Dow Jones Risk Journal

 

Good morning. When President Trump arrived in the snow-covered Swiss Alps on Wednesday afternoon, European leaders were panicking that his efforts to acquire Greenland would trigger a trans-Atlantic conflagration. By the time the sun set, Trump had backed down.

The about-face started with an hourlong speech at the World Economic Forum, where the U.S. president said he wouldn’t deploy the military to take control of Greenland. Later, following a meeting with North Atlantic Treaty Organization Secretary-General Mark Rutte, Trump called off promised tariffs on European nations, contending that he had “formed the framework of a future deal” with respect to the largest island in the world.

  • Details of the deal: The contours of the deal framework, including whether it would allow the U.S. to acquire Greenland, couldn’t immediately be determined. Speaking to reporters, Trump called the framework “really fantastic,” but offered few details. He said he assumes Denmark, which controls Greenland, had been informed about the framework
     
  • Threatened tariffs: The pivot was a welcome relief to European leaders, who faced the prospect of economy-rattling tariffs and a standoff with Trump that could have threatened the stability of NATO. Last weekend, Trump said he would hit eight nations with 10% tariffs starting next month if a deal wasn’t reached to acquire Greenland. The tariffs would increase to 25% in June.
     
  • The shift came after days of talks with Rutte and European officials: Trump and Rutte on Wednesday “discussed the critical significance of security in the Arctic region” to the U.S. and other NATO members, according to an alliance spokesman. Talks about the proposed framework will focus on how NATO members can work together to ensure Arctic security, the spokesman said. More-specific negotiations between Denmark, Greenland and the U.S. will aim to ensure “that Russia and China never gain a foothold—economically or militarily—in Greenland,” the spokesman said.

“We want a piece of ice for world protection, and they won’t give it. You can say yes, and we will be very appreciative. Or you can say no, and we will remember.”

— President Trump said of his desire to acquire Greenland from Denmark in his speech earlier Wednesday in Davos, Switzerland
 
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The price of gold a troy ounce on Wednesday. Investors have plenty to worry about lately and their response has been the same: Buy gold. Just three months after hitting the once-unthinkable price of $4,000 a troy ounce, gold prices are on the cusp of $5,000.

 

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On this week’s episode of the Dow Jones Risk Journal Podcast: Iran’s government faces a crucial test as it navigates mass protests and the threat of U.S. military action.

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About Us

Follow us on X at @WSJRisk. Send tips to our reporters Max Fillion at max.fillion@dowjones.com, Mengqi Sun at mengqi.sun@wsj.com and Richard Vanderford at richard.vanderford@wsj.com.

You can also reach us by replying to any newsletter, or by emailing our editor David Smagalla at david.smagalla@wsj.com.

 
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