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Fed’s Miran Says Four Cuts Are Appropriate This Year

  • Federal Reserve governor Stephen Miran said the Fed should cut interest rates by about a percentage point this year.
  • Miran stated he has not seen anything in private credit to cause macroeconomic concern.
  • Miran expects artificial intelligence to destroy some jobs while also creating new job categories.

 

China Moves to Tame Yuan Rally by Slashing Shorting Costs

  • The People’s Bank of China cut the risk reserve ratio for financial institutions’ foreign-exchange forward trading to zero from 20%, effective March 2.
  • The central bank’s move makes purchasing the dollar cheaper, following the yuan’s recent nearly three-year high against the greenback.
  • The People’s Bank of China aims to keep the yuan’s exchange rate stable and has adjusted the requirement ratio several times.

U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Last Week

  • Initial unemployment claims rose to 212,000 in the week through Feb. 21, up from 208,000 a week earlier, the Labor Department said.
  • Continuing unemployment claims fell to 1.83 million in the week through Feb. 14, down from 1.86 million a week earlier.
  • A recent consumer confidence survey showed improving perceptions of employment conditions, with the labor market differential ticking up.

Mortgage Rates Fall Below 6% for the First Time Since 2022

  • The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 5.98% this week, the lowest level since September 2022.
  • Cooling inflation, economic uncertainty and Federal Reserve rate cuts contributed to the decline in mortgage rates.
  • Economists generally do not forecast further rate declines this year, expecting current levels to hold.

Canada Steadfast in Avoiding Travel to U.S., Buying More Domestic Goods

  • Bank of Canada research indicates President Trump’s trade policy has significantly increased Canadian spending on domestic products and local tourism.
  • Trips by Canadians to the U.S. fell by 25% in 2025, the largest year-over-year decline ever recorded excluding the pandemic.
  • Since March 2025, Canadian households shifted food spending from U.S. products to domestic ones, a modest but visible change.

 

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