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Inflation Soared to 3.8% in April, Driven by Gasoline Prices

  • Consumer prices rose 3.8% in April from a year earlier, the highest increase in three years, driven by higher gas prices.
  • Inflation-adjusted average hourly earnings declined 0.3% in April, marking the first annual drop since April 2023.
  • The April inflation report shifted the Federal Reserve’s policy debate toward signaling a potential rate hike.

 

Wall Street Is Getting More Anxious About Long-Term Inflation

  • Tuesday’s consumer-price index readout intensified Wall Street’s inflation anxiety, dragging on tech stocks and the S&P 500.
  • The 10-year break-even rate, a measure of inflation expectations, hit 2.5% this month, its highest level since 2023.

Eurozone Industrial Production Inched Higher in March

  • Eurozone industrial output rose 0.2% in March, after a 0.2% rise in February, despite rising energy costs from the Middle East war.
  • The conflict in the Middle East caused oil-and-gas prices to jump in March, leading the EU to spend an extra 27 billion euros on energy imports.
  • The European Central Bank cut its 2026 growth forecast to 0.9% from 1.2%, as the outlook for eurozone industry has further weakened.

India Raises Gold, Silver Tariffs to Curb Imports

  • India hiked import duties on gold and silver to 15% from 6% to conserve foreign resources and prioritize essential imports.
  • The measure aims to narrow India’s widening trade deficit, caused by high energy prices and sustained capital outflows, according to an analyst.
  • The rupee has depreciated over 6% year-to-date against the dollar, trading at 95.6075, amid Middle East conflict and oil price concerns.

IEA Warns Recovery From Hormuz Supply Shock Will Take Months

  • The International Energy Agency said the near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz caused an unprecedented supply shock, revising oil demand and supply forecasts.
  • The agency now expects global oil demand to contract by 420,000 barrels a day and global supply to fall by 3.9 million barrels a day this year.
  • The oil market is set to remain in deficit until the final quarter of the year, with supply recovery slower due to infrastructure damage and mine clearing.

 

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