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Kevin Warsh on the Fed, in His Own Words

  • The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair on Wednesday with a 54-45 party-line vote.
  • Warsh, a former Fed governor, previously expressed concerns about central bank independence in 2010.
  • President Trump nominated Warsh in January, and Warsh stated at his April confirmation hearing that Trump had not pressured him on rates.

 

Fed’s Barr: Shrinking The Balance Sheet Is The Wrong Objective

  • Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said shrinking the central bank’s balance sheet is the wrong objective, threatening financial stability.
  • Barr’s comments follow Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as Fed chair, who argues for shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet.
  • Barr warned that proposals to shrink the balance sheet would undermine bank resilience and impede money market functioning.

U.S Jobless Claims Rose Last Week

  • U.S. jobless claims rose by 12,000 to 211,000 in the week through May 9, exceeding economists’ expectations.
  • Continuing claims for unemployment benefits increased to 1.78 million in the week through May 2.
  • The labor market remained resilient, adding 115,000 jobs in April despite the Iran war.

Retailers’ Sales Growth Cooled Last Month

  • U.S. retailers’ sales growth slowed to 0.5% in April, down from 1.6% in March, the Commerce Department said.
  • A cooler increase in gasoline prices moderated overall sales growth for retailers in April.
  • Consumer prices rose 3.8% in the 12 months through April, the highest inflation in three years.

Ireland’s Foreign Investment Chief Sees Inflows Holding Up Despite Headwinds

  • Ireland’s agency for attracting foreign businesses, IDA, reported a record 323 new investments in 2025, an increase of 38% from 2024.
  • Global foreign investment rose 15% to $1.7 trillion, the highest level since 2021, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
  • U.S. pharmaceutical businesses in Ireland face pressure from the Trump administration to make more drugs in the U.S.

Uganda’s Central Bank Holds Key Lending Rate at 9.75%

  • Uganda’s central bank maintained its key lending rate at 9.75% due to subdued inflation, while monitoring the Iran war’s economic impact.
  • Uganda’s inflation marginally rose to 3% in April from 2.8% the prior month, with the central bank expecting 5% to 5.3% over 12 months.
  • Uganda is preparing to start crude oil exports in October, with higher global oil prices potentially increasing the value of these exports.

The World Is Burning Through Its Oil Safety Net

  • An initial crude oil surplus cushioned the global economy after the Persian Gulf closed, but it is now dwindling at a record pace.
  • Oil executives and analysts predict acute fuel shortages and soaring prices within weeks if the Strait of Hormuz remains shut.
  • Global oil inventories plunged by 250 million barrels over March and April, and replenishing them will require years of extra supply.

 

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