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Fed’s Perli: Monthly Pace of Treasury Purchases Likely to Be ‘Significantly Reduced’ After Mid-April

  • The Federal Reserve will significantly reduce its monthly government bond purchases after mid-April, according to Fed markets official Roberto Perli.
  • The Fed’s bond-buying program is for reserve management, ensuring banks have adequate reserves for daily operations, not economic stimulus.
  • The adjustment is tied to the U.S. income-tax season, which affects banking system reserves, allowing the Fed to throttle back purchases.

 

Bank of Canada to Protect Economy From Risk of Persistent Inflation, No. 2 Official Says

  • The Bank of Canada’s priority is preventing higher energy prices from the Iran war from causing extended, elevated inflation.
  • Senior Deputy Gov. Carolyn Rogers said officials expect increased crude-oil and natural-gas costs to lead to higher inflation.
  • Rogers noted higher energy prices would lift Canadian income but also squeeze household budgets and corporate margins.

Korea’s Incoming Central Bank Chief Faces Tough Balancing Act

  • South Korea’s central bank pick, Shin Hyun-song, could lead to a more hawkish policy stance amid economic challenges and geopolitical tensions.
  • Markets imply a quarter-point rate increase within six months and up to 100 basis points over the next year.
  • Economists from ING and Citigroup expect rate hikes in July and October, with ING not ruling out a May hike.

Bank of Mexico Cuts Benchmark Interest Rate in Split Decision After Pause

  • The Bank of Mexico lowered its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 6.75% in a 3-2 split decision.
  • The Bank of Mexico will assess timing for an additional rate cut, citing Middle East conflict uncertainty and raising inflation forecasts.
  • Mexico’s inflation rose to 4.63% in mid-March, led by fresh fruit and vegetable prices, while core inflation slipped to 4.46%.

U.S. Jobless Claims Rose Slightly Last Week

  • U.S. jobless claims rose to 210,000 in the week through March 21, up from 205,000 a week earlier, the Labor Department said.
  • Continuing jobless claims fell to 1.82 million in the week through March 14, the lowest level since May 25, 2024.
  • Low jobless claims signal employers are not implementing widespread layoffs, despite a relatively cooler labor market.

U.K. Consumer Sentiment Dampens as Iran War Provokes Inflation Worries

  • U.K. consumer confidence fell two points to minus 21 in March, the lowest point since April last year, amid renewed fears over price rises from the Iran war.
  • The OECD expects U.K. inflation to average 4% in 2026, up from 2.5%, and downgraded U.K. growth to 0.7% this year due to the war.
  • U.K. retail sales volumes declined 0.4% on month in February, according to separate data from the Office for National Statistics.

EU Lawmakers Vote to Advance U.S. Trade Deal

  • European Union lawmakers voted 417 to 154 to advance talks on a trade deal with the U.S., initially reached in July 2025.
  • The deal would eliminate tariffs on most U.S. goods to the EU and cap tariffs on EU goods to the U.S. at 15%.
  • The parliament added safeguards, allowing temporary tariff suspension if U.S. imports harm EU industry or if the U.S. fails commitments.

Growth in Asia Could Slow Sharply on Prolonged Mideast Conflict, ADB Says

  • A prolonged Middle East conflict could cut developing Asia’s economic growth by up to 1.3 percentage points and raise inflation by 3.2 percentage points through 2027, the Asian Development Bank said.
  • The effects would be uneven, with Southeast Asia likely seeing the most negative growth impacts and South Asia experiencing the largest inflation spikes.
  • The Asian Development Bank advised central banks to prioritize stability, avoid overly aggressive tightening, and provide targeted liquidity support.

FTC Issues Warnings to Payment Processors Against ‘Debanking’

  • The Federal Trade Commission warned Mastercard, Visa, PayPal, and Stripe against denying financial services based on political or religious views.
  • FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson cited President Trump’s August executive order on “debanking” in letters to the companies.
  • The FTC warned that denying access inconsistent with terms of service could lead to investigations and enforcement actions.

Fannie Mae to Accept Crypto-Backed Mortgages for the First Time

  • Fannie Mae will soon accept so-called crypto-backed mortgages, a new product from Better Home & Finance and Coinbase Global that allows home buyers to pledge crypto.
  • The goal is to tap in to demand from potential home buyers who don’t want to use their cash savings for a down payment and don’t want to sell their crypto investments.
  • Once the crypto assets have been pledged for the down payment, the homeowner can’t trade them.

 

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