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Imports into the U.S. are down and will likely continue to decline next year, though they aren't expected to fall off a cliff as goods produced in Southeast Asia help make up for a drop in imports from China, the head of the busiest American container port tells the WSJ Logistics Report.
Furniture, a growing variety of footwear and consumer electronics—aside from cellphones—are among the products U.S. importers are sourcing more from Vietnam and other nations in the region, said Gene Seroka, executive director of the Port of Los Angeles. This continues a yearslong shift, with around 40% of imports into the port originating in China now, down from about 60% in 2018, he said.
November container imports into the Port of L.A. came to about 404,000 20-foot-equivalent units, down from just over 458,000 a year earlier. Seroka echoed the National Retail Federation in saying he expects imports to continue to slip lower in 2026. Comparisons next year could be skewed, however, by the large amount of goods companies brought in earlier this year to stock up before expected new tariffs took effect.
Chinese exports diverted from the U.S. are increasingly headed to Europe, West Africa and Latin America. While global trade flows have shown surprising strength in the face of President Trump’s tariffs, that resilience could be strained if these Chinese products diverted from the U.S. flood other markets at knock-down prices, The Wall Street Journal’s Paul Hannon writes.
This diversion is threatening to sour relations between the European Union and China and open a second front in the global trade war. French President Emmanuel Macron recently warned that the EU might have to “withdraw cooperation” and resort to higher tariffs.
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