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Trump Weighs Fed Gov. Cook Replacement

By Vicky Ge Huang

 

President Trump has told advisers that he wants to move quickly to announce a nominee to replace Lisa Cook on the Federal Reserve’s board of governors, according to people familiar with the matter. The Wall Street Journal's Greg Ip writes that investors would be wise to assume that starting sometime in the next nine months, the Fed will set rates according to Trump’s preferences. Meanwhile, Americans are finding it increasingly difficult to find jobs, according to new data released Tuesday. That points to a weaker August employment report and supports mounting expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates next month.

 

Top News

Get Ready for the End of Fed Independence

Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images

The market response to President Trump’s Monday attempt to fire a Federal Reserve governor was relatively subdued.

Don’t let that fool you. If Trump’s effort to remove Lisa Cook for cause succeeds, and perhaps even if it doesn’t, this week will go down as one of the most consequential for financial markets in decades.

It could mark the end of the Federal Reserve’s independence from White House control, which it effectively obtained in 1951. As a result, inflation is likely to be higher and more volatile than in the decades before 2020.

  • Trump Weighs Quickly Announcing Nominee to Replace Lisa Cook on Fed Board
  • Lisa Cook, the Fed Governor at the Center of a Firestorm
  • Trump’s Fed Aggression Poses New Legal Test of Presidential Power
  • Bessent: Trump is ‘Restoring Trust’ at the Fed
 
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The Federal Reserve Under Siege

President Trump is attempting to fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook in the most dramatic step yet in his efforts to take control of the central bank. As WSJ’s Matt Grossman explains, the move could allow Trump to alter the makeup of the board enough to potentially outvote Fed Chair Jerome Powell and recast the Fed in his image.

Listen Now
 

BOC's Policy-Framework Review Won’t Revisit Inflation Target

Canada’s central bank is asking questions of its monetary-policy framework as part of a regular review but has no intention of abandoning its 2% inflation target.

 

U.S. Economy

Consumer-Confidence Survey Slips in August

American consumers’ confidence edged slightly lower in August from the previous month, according to The Conference Board, a research group that runs a monthly survey.

U.S. Mid-Atlantic Factory Activity Slows Less Sharply

Manufacturing activity in the mid-Atlantic region continues to contract, but less sharply, as demand shows signs of recovering.

The AI-Skilled 20-Somethings Making Hundreds of Thousands a Year

It’s a tough time to be a young person looking for a job—unless you’re in artificial intelligence. Companies are snapping up ‘AI native’ talent straight out of college and grad school—no work experience required.

 

Financial Regulation

Trump’s Company Launches Business to Buy Billions in Crypto Coin

President Trump’s media business is launching a new company to buy and hold CRO, a niche token affiliated with Crypto.com, his family’s latest expansion into the market for digital assets.

 

Forward Guidance

Wednesday (all times ET)

11:45 a.m.: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin speaks before the Greensboro Chamber of Commerce
7 p.m.: U.S. tariff on India imports rises to 50%

Thursday

8:30 a.m.: 2nd estimate GDP
8:30 a.m.: Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims
10 a.m.: Pending Home Sales Index
11 a.m.: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Tenth District Manufacturing
6 p.m.: Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller speaks at Economic Club of Miami Dinner

 

Research

Stalling U.S. Housing Market Hitting Buyers and Sellers

The U.S. housing market may be showing signs of movement on paper, but for many Americans, the market has stalled, says Realtor.com. The housing market slowdown touches everyone from buyers to sellers to builders, Realtor.com says. Despite facing different pressures, each group is reacting the same way: with hesitation and retreat. Home sales remain near multi-decade lows, despite 21 consecutive months of rising inventory. Prices have stabilized in many regions, but elevated mortgage rates and economic uncertainty are keeping buyers and sellers on the sidelines. For buyers, affordability is still a major hurdle. The national median list price remains near $440,000, relatively unchanged since 2022, while mortgage rates have climbed, pushing monthly payments higher. And incomes have not kept pace with the increased cost of homeownership. — Chris Wack

September Could Be ECB's Last Chance to Cut

September looks like the last chance for the European Central Bank to lower interest rates in the eurozone, Pantheon Macroeconomics' Claus Vistesen and Melanie Debono write in a note. The bank at its last meeting in July held its key rate at 2.00%, and investors now mostly expect the governing council to keep its hands off the scissors and next month's meeting in Frankfurt. That could change if consumer-price inflation proves weaker than expected in August, Vistesen and Debono say, with figures for eurozone CPI due to be released next week. Inflation is meanwhile likely to spike further ahead as energy and good prices gain pace, the economists say." The window for further easing this year will slam shut as inflation rebounds from September," they say. — Joshua Kirby

 

Basis Points

  • Canada’s manufacturers and wholesalers look to be steadying after taking a hit this year from trade uncertainty and higher tariffs, with early estimates of sales suggesting a tailwind for a sluggish economy entering the third quarter.
  • Canada needs a big lift in construction if it is to close the housing shortage it faces over the next decade, even with the pace of immigration slowing, a report by the country’s budget watchdog suggested.
  • The mood among German consumers continues to darken as the pressures besetting Europe’s largest economy take their toll on sentiment.
  • Australia’s monthly inflation indicator jumped to its highest level in a year in July, affirming the Reserve Bank of Australia’s cautious approach to cutting interest rates over recent months.
 

About Us

WSJ Pro Central Banking brings you central banking news, analysis and insights from WSJ’s global team of reporters and editors. This newsletter was compiled by markets reporter Vicky Ge Huang in New York. Send your tips, suggestions and feedback to vicky.huang@wsj.com.

 
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