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Judy Shelton's Path to Confirmation Dims; Williams Sees Solid Growth; Fed Reduces Repo Schedule
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Good day. Senators on both sides of the aisle expressed reservations about economist Judy Shelton joining the Federal Reserve Board during a confirmation hearing. Lawmakers didn't indicate they had concerns about President Trump's other nominee for a Fed board seat, Christopher Waller of the St. Louis Fed. Meanwhile, New York Fed President John Williams said he expects economic growth this year similar to 2019, which should generate inflation around the Fed's 2% target. Also, his bank reduced the amount of planned repo operations in a new schedule.
Please note: The central banking newsletter won’t be published Monday as the U.S. observes Presidents Day.
Now on to today’s news and analysis.
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Path to Confirmation Dims for Shelton After Republican Objections
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President Trump's nominee to the Federal Reserve, Judy Shelton, appeared before the Senate Banking Committee for a confirmation hearing Thursday. PHOTO: J. SCOTT APPLEWHITE/ASSOCIATED PRESS
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Republican senators dealt a significant setback to one of President Trump’s nominees to the Federal Reserve Board when they raised concerns over her writings and public statements at a confirmation hearing. Lawmakers of both parties on the Senate Banking Committee said they were uncomfortable with at least some of Judy Shelton’s policy preferences.
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Williams: 2019 Rate Cuts Positioned Economy for Growth
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New York Fed leader John Williams said the central bank’s rate cuts last year put the economy on a path to continue its expansion, and he said what happens next with interest-rate policy depends on what happens with economic data.
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Derby's Take: Fed Nominee Judy Shelton’s Views Appear to Shift
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In monetary policy-making, flip-flopping is tricky business.
At the Federal Reserve, abrupt reversals by officials in recent years have meant a shift from an inclination toward higher rates toward its opposite. The issue of policy stance switches came back into view as economist Judy Shelton faced senators Thursday in a confirmation hearing to become a central bank governor.
Ms. Shelton, a longtime advocate of a gold standard and a critic of the Fed’s actions during the financial crisis, appeared to abandon those views in the face of senators’ questions. Read More.
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Other Developments Around the World
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New York Fed Lays Out Reduced Schedule for Repo Operations
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The Fed is looking to gradually wean big banks off its repo operations. A new schedule for repurchase agreement operations, or repos, through March 12 has overnight repo interventions falling from a maximum size of $120 billion to $100 billion.
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Term repos, all of which are scheduled to be 14-day operations, go from $30 billion down to $25 billion through Feb. 27, and then down to $20 billion to March 12. All of this is consistent with Fed plans, which see repos running through at least April. The only catch is primary dealers have sought more on the term operations than the Fed would provide, although the Fed is likely indifferent to this because its focus is on short-term rates, which has seen little volatility while the fed-funds rate has traded as the Fed wants. (Dow Jones Newswires)
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Bank of Mexico Makes Fifth Consecutive Rate Cut
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The bank's board of governors voted unanimously to lower the overnight interest-rate target to 7% from 7.25% in a fifth straight quarter-percentage-point reduction as inflation remained close to the bank's 3% target and risks to economic growth increased.
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Drop in Energy Prices Slowed U.S. Inflation in January
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The consumer-price index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.1% in January, the Labor Department said. That was a smaller increase than in December, when the index added 0.2%. Energy prices fell 0.7% from the previous month.
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China's Stimulus Strategy Faces New Test in Coronavirus
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China has pumped billions of dollars into its financial system, raised expectations of an interest-rate cut and pledged to cut red tape, rolling out a bevy of emergency responses to the economic hit of its coronavirus outbreak. But none of the measures announced so far, economists say, can offset the abrupt drop in consumer spending and disrupted business activity in the world's second-largest economy.
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Treasury Sells 30-Year Bonds at Record Low Yield
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The U.S. Treasury Department sold $19 billion of 30-year bonds on Thursday afternoon at a 2.061% yield, highlighting investors’ demand for longer-term debt. Yields generally moved lower after Chinese officials changed the way they counted coronavirus infections.
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Uganda Central Bank Keeps Rates Unchanged
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Uganda's central bank held its key lending rate at 9%, citing subdued inflationary pressure in Africa's top coffee exporter amid receding food and fuel prices. (Dow Jones Newswires)
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Analysis: Australia Central Bank Wants to Walk on the Bright Side
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Reserve Bank of Australia Gov. Philip Lowe is closely monitoring the economic impact of bush fires and the coronavirus. But the doom saying in markets and the media may be topping his list of frustrations.
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Financial Regulation Roundup
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Proposal for SEC to Absorb Audit Watchdog Raises Concerns
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A White House proposal to consolidate the responsibilities of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board under the Securities and Exchange Commission, could reduce resources for regulating public-company audits, former regulators say.
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China’s Huawei Charged With Racketeering
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China’s Huawei Technologies Co. and two U.S. subsidiaries were charged with racketeering and conspiracy to steal trade secrets in a new federal indictment saying the company obtained nonpublic intellectual property.
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Increased Scrutiny Over Privacy Risks in Foreign Investors’ U.S. Deals
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New U.S. rules will require investors with substantial ties to foreign governments to disclose deals or acquisitions with a U.S. business if it has access to data on more than one million people.
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The information covered by the rules includes certain genetic and biometric data, financial data and health data. The rules also apply to investments in U.S. businesses that track users’ locations or target U.S. military or national security personnel.
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SEC Issued Tesla Subpoena in Probe of Financing Arrangements
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The electric-car maker is facing fresh regulatory scrutiny over its financing arrangements and accounting practices, as it looks to raise more than $2 billion from a stock sale to help accelerate its ambitious production plans.
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Puerto Rico Government Hit by $4 Million Online Scam
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An online fraud aimed at Puerto Rico government agencies sought to divert more than $4 million in public funds, authorities said, raising concerns about the island’s handling of its finances as it continues to receive federal disaster aid.
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Drug Prices Are Suppressed Overseas, White House Study Finds
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The findings suggest drug pricing could become another source of friction between the U.S. and trading partners, similar to China’s appropriation of U.S. intellectual property and European “digital taxes” on big American technology companies.
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8:30 a.m.: U.S. Commerce Department releases January retail sales
10 a.m.: University of Michigan releases preliminary February U.S. consumer sentiment
10:30 a.m: Bank of Canada releases senior loan officer survey
11:45 a.m.: Cleveland Fed’s Mester speaks in Sarasota, Fla.
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Inflation Could Heat Up With World’s Workshop Locked Down
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Amid China's economic disruption, the flow of the goods it supplies the world will be curtailed. PHOTO: ALEX PLAVEVSKI/SHUTTERSTOCK
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The worse the impact from the coronavirus outbreak is on China’s economy, the more prices for consumer goods could heat up, Justin Lahart writes at The Wall Street Journal. He says the Federal Reserve would likely look through any coronavirus-related impact on prices, and if anything, the outbreak might make the central bank more likely to ease policy.
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Germany’s economy didn't grow at all in the fourth quarter, missing economists' expectations of a 0.1% increase, as government and household consumption slowed.
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The yield on U.K. government debt rose after Treasury chief Sajid Javid resigned less than a month before the March budget presentation. The pound rose against the euro and the dollar as analysts said the move boosts prospects for fiscal stimulus. (Dow Jones Newswires)
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Argentina's consumer prices rose 2.3% in January and increased 52.9% from a year earlier, the Indec statistics agency said Thursday. (Dow Jones Newswires)
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The International Monetary Fund said it is committed to working with Argentina to restructure its debt after government officials blamed the IMF for the country's economic crisis. (Dow Jones Newswires)
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Thailand's economy likely grew 2% from a year earlier in the fourth quarter, slowing from 2.4% in the third quarter, according to a median forecast of five economists in a WSJ poll. (Dow Jones Newswires)
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