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Trump Considers Naming Next Fed Chair Early in Bid to Undermine Powell

By Roshan Fernandez

 

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is taking a more cautious approach to the effects of President Trump’s tariff increases than it did in 2019 because recent increases in tariff rates are much larger and because the economy is coming off a period of much higher inflation.

President Trump’s exasperation over the Fed’s take-it-slow approach to cutting interest rates is prompting him to consider accelerating when he will announce his pick to succeed Powell, whose term runs for another 11 months.

And the U.S. took a step toward easing some of the requirements placed on banks in the wake of the 2008-09 financial crisis, issuing a proposal that would let the largest lenders free up some of the capital they hold for times of market turmoil.

 

Top News

Trump Considers Naming Fed Chair Early in Bid to Undermine Powell

Photo: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

In recent weeks, the president has toyed with the idea of selecting and announcing Federal Reserve's Chair Jerome Powell’s replacement by September or October, according to people familiar with the matter. One of these people said the president’s ire toward Powell could prompt an even-earlier announcement sometime this summer.

Trump is considering former Fed governor Kevin Warsh and National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett, according to people familiar with the matter. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is being pitched to Trump by allies of both men as a potential candidate, some of these people said. Other contenders include former World Bank President David Malpass and Fed governor Christopher Waller.

Powell Says Fed Must Consider Costs of Being Wrong on Inflation

While it’s possible that tariff increases will result in a one-time increase in prices akin to an oil price shock that interest-rate policy should look through or ignore, the Fed is moving cautiously to arrive at that judgment, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said. “In a situation like this where the process could go on for a long time, where the effects could be large or small, it's just something you want to approach carefully,” he said.

 

U.S. Economy

New Home Sales Slump as Mortgage Rates Remain High

Sales of new homes sank in May amid continued concerns over high mortgage costs. Sales of new single-family homes fell 13.7% to 623,000 from a downwardly revised 722,000 in April. Sales had been expected to come in at 695,000, according to economists polled by The Wall Street Journal.

New Yorkers Vote to Make Their Housing Shortage Worse

There is nothing self-equilibrating about New York’s housing market. Supply has been stubbornly unresponsive to steadily rising prices and rents. Should Mamdani go on to win the general election, sticking to his adversarial approach to landlords and private developers won’t fix this.

Goodbye Fancy Bar, Hello At-Home Pizza Party

Young Americans’ shopping spree is over. In-store and online purchases for 18- to 24-year-olds fell 13% year-over-year between January and April, according to market research firm Circana.

Gas Prices Are Down for Summer Driving Season

Hitting the road this summer won’t bring as big of a hit to your wallet.

The national average for a gallon of regular gasoline, $3.21, is about 23 cents cheaper than this time last year, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Analysts say plentiful supply is expected to keep prices down in the coming months even with turmoil in the Middle East.

Oil prices on Tuesday were lower than before Israel and Iran’s conflict began.

 

Financial Regulation

U.S. Regulators Move to Ease Financial Crisis-Era Bank Capital Rules

Photo: Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg News

The Federal Reserve’s board voted 5-2 on Wednesday to issue a proposal to lower the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio. The enhanced ratio dictates how much capital big banks like JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup must hold against their total assets.

Banks have long lobbied for lowering the ratio, and Treasury Secretary Bessent has said the proposal to lower the ratio would help buttress global markets by allowing banks to buy more Treasurys.

Pulte Orders Fannie, Freddie to Consider Crypto as Mortgage Asset

Federal Housing Finance Agency Director William Pulte told Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to prepare their businesses for counting cryptocurrency as an asset on mortgage applications.

The Big Loser From the ‘Genius Act’ Is $156 Bln Crypto Giant Tether

Congress is set to bring stablecoins into the financial mainstream, but the bill, known as the Genius Act, has a tough message for Tether, the No. 1 player in stablecoins: Shape up or get kicked out of the U.S. market.

BlackRock Deepens Push Into Private Investments for the Masses

BlackRock is accelerating a push into private investments by including them in funds for 401(k) retirement plans.The world’s largest asset manager plans to offer a 401(k) target-date fund with a 5% to 20% allocation to private investments, depending on an investor’s age, in the first half of 2026, the company said.

 

Forward Guidance

Thursday (all times ET)

8:30 a.m.: Chicago Fed National Activity Index
8:30 a.m.: Advance Report on Durable Goods
8:30 a.m.: Advance Economic Indicators Report
8:30 a.m.: Revised Corporate Profits
8:30 a.m.: 3rd estimate GDP
8:30 a.m.: Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report, Initial Claims
8:45 a.m.: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin speaks at New York Association for Business Economics event
10 a.m.: Pending Home Sales Index
11 a.m.: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Tenth District Manufacturing
2 p.m.: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Closed Meeting
4:30 p.m.: Foreign Central Bank Holdings
4:30 p.m.: Federal Discount Window Borrowings
7 p.m.: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari participates in Montana Chamber of Commerce event

Friday

8:30 a.m.: Personal Income and Outlays
10 a.m.: State Quarterly Personal Income
10 a.m.: University of Michigan Survey of Consumers, Final
10 a.m.: GDP by State
3 p.m.: Agricultural Prices
4:30 p.m.: Federal Reserve Board releases annual bank stress test results

 

Research

Typical U.S. Household Needs To Spend About 45% of Income to Afford Median-Priced Home

In today's major housing markets, affordability isn't just strained, it's nearly extinct, a report from Realtor.com says. The typical U.S. household would need to spend 44.6% of their income to afford a median-priced home in May, well above the recommended 30% threshold. High mortgage rates and home prices continue to weigh on affordability. Earnings have risen, but homebuying costs have risen faster, Realtor.com says. Using a standard 20% down payment and May's average mortgage rate of 6.82%, just three major metros allow median-income earners to purchase a median-priced home without exceeding 30% of their income: Pittsburgh, Detroit and St. Louis. These metros remain attractive to both buyers and investors due to their relatively low home prices, but sustained demand for low-priced homes threatens to erode affordability even in these strongholds.  — Chris Wack

 

Basis Points

  • U.S. crude oil inventories fell more than expected last week as exports increased, and gasoline stocks declined amid a seasonal pickup in demand, according to data released Thursday by the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
  • Higher energy prices as a result of conflict in the Middle East might weaken eurozone economic growth and thus have a damping effect on inflation, the European Central Bank’s vice president said Thursday.
  • German consumer sentiment edged lower for the first time in four months as households opted to boost savings, despite greater optimism surrounding their income prospects.
  • Muzinich & Co. appointed former Swiss National Bank chair Thomas Jordan as senior adviser, bringing in a monetary policymaker’s perspective to inform its public and private credit strategies, the asset management company said Wednesday. 
  • Two weeks after China promised the U.S. it would ease the exports of rare-earth magnets, Chinese authorities are dragging out approval of Western companies’ requests for the critical components, a situation that could reignite trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.
 

About Us

WSJ Pro Central Banking brings you central banking news, analysis and insights from WSJ’s global team of reporters and editors. This newsletter was compiled by news associate Roshan Fernandez in New York. Send your tips, suggestions and feedback to roshan.fernandez@wsj.com.

 
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