FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                 Oct. 10, 2018                                 

Ducey Has Double-Digit Lead Over Garcia in Arizona Governor’s Race 

PHOENIX (Oct 10, 2018) – OH Predictive Insights partnered with the Arizona Capitol Times to find out voters’ opinions on the Arizona Governor’s race. The Capitol Times/OHPI poll finds incumbent Governor Doug Ducey with a double-digit lead in his race against Democratic challenger, David Garcia. Ducey takes a majority of the vote with 54%, Garcia is next with 37%, and Green Party candidate Angel Torres has 2%. Only 7% remain undecided.

“Governor Ducey is dominating the vote with a 17-point lead,” says Mike Noble, chief pollster of OHPI. “The incumbent clearly has a large support system behind him.”

“We strive to give our readers and voters as much relevant information as possible on important statewide races,” says Luige del Puerto, associate publisher & editor of the Arizona Capitol Times. “Local politics affect Americans more directly, and this poll gives them an insight – a snapshot – of where the Arizona governor’s race is roughly four weeks to go in the elections.”  

Ducey maintains his lead throughout Arizona, leading in both Maricopa and Pima County, as well as in rural regions. When looking at favorability, Ducey continues to have overwhelming support, leading by 29 points in Maricopa County, 11 points in Pima County and 42 points in rural areas. Garcia has -5%, -1% and -11%, respectively.

In addition, voters were broken down by level of education. Of those who support Ducey, over half are college graduates or have post-graduate education. Of Garcia’s supporters, over three quarters (77%) have college degrees or a higher level of education, a heavy reliance that appears to hamper Garcia’s chances of cobbling together a winning coalition.

“Throughout the state, it’s clear that most Arizonans are leaning toward Governor Ducey,” says Noble. “In the next few weeks leading up to the election, it’ll be interesting to watch the strategies in Garcia’s campaign as he attempts to bring Ducey down.”

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Methodology: This 48% cell phone and 52% landline poll was completed by OH Predictive Insights on October 3rd, 2018, from a likely 2018 General Election voter sample. The sample demographics accurately reflected party affiliation, gender, region, and age. The sample size was 600 completed surveys, with a MoE of ± 4%. Numbers may not total 100%, due to rounding. Poll report for the General Election poll can be viewed here.

Media Contacts:  Annelise Krafft, OH Predictive Insights, a.krafft@ohpredictive.com, 480-414-8770

Luige del Puerto, Arizona Capitol Times, luige.delpuerto@azcapitoltimes.com, 602-501-2376

About OH Predictive Insights

Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights provides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights will service political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing on key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 602-254-5159 or submit a request online.

About the Arizona Capitol Times

The Arizona Capitol Times, an award-winning and nonpartisan publication, is the leading source of political and state government news in Arizona. Arizona News Service, which publishes the Arizona Capitol Times, also produces Legislation On Line Arizona, Arizona Legislative Report, Yellow Sheet Report, AzLobbyists.com, and several special publications.