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Editor's note
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We often overestimate the risk of rare events like shark attacks or terrorism. For example, many Americans avoided flying after September 11, 2001, and chose to drive instead. This resulted in an increase in fatalities on US roads, killing more people than the terrorist attacks themselves.
As part of our series on understanding statistics, probability and risk, cognitive psychologist Ben Newell and his colleagues give us some pointers on assessing the real risk - or otherwise - of rare events.
And as Hazelwood power station prepares to power down, Erik Eklund traces its journey from modernist icon to symbol of greenhouse pollution.
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Top story
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How risky is it to swim?
Christine Cabalo/Wikimedia
Ben Newell, UNSW; Chris Donkin, UNSW; Dan Navarro, UNSW
We naturally overestimate the risk of rare events, like shark attacks or terrorism. But there are things you can do to think more rationally about the real risk.
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Environment + Energy
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Erik Eklund, Federation University Australia
Hazelwood power station will this week fall silent after a half-century during which it went from a beacon of progress to an emblem of fossil fuel pollution.
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Kumuda Simpson, La Trobe University
Donald Trump has signalled the end of US leadership on climate policy, with potentially unpleasant consequences for America's economy, security and diplomatic standing.
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Robert Davis, Edith Cowan University
A Night Parrot snapped in Western Australia confirms the mysterious species survives across Australia, but now the real conservation work begins.
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Politics + Society
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Kate Fitz-Gibbon, Monash University; JaneMaree Maher, Monash University; Jude McCulloch, Monash University; Sandra Walklate, University of Liverpool
A year since its royal commission reported, Victoria continues to lead the nation in how to respond to, and prevent, family violence.
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Rob Roggema, University of Technology Sydney
Cities would suffer much less damage and avoid the huge financial losses if we designed them to cope with the effects of cyclones.
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Beth Goldblatt, University of Technology Sydney
The latest welfare changes will hurt low-income families and breach Australia's human rights obligations.
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Business + Economy
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Gary Mortimer, Queensland University of Technology
After a lot of hype, it looks like Amazon will finally come to Australian shores. But it won't be the end of Aussie retail.
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Health + Medicine
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Emma Duncan, The University of Queensland; Kerrie Sanders, Australian Catholic University; Peter Robert Ebeling, Monash University; Warrick Inder, The University of Queensland
If dietary calcium is in short supply, calcium is released from bone to maintain the critical level in the bloodstream needed for nerve and muscle function.
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Carmel Laragy, RMIT University
We know predators will continue to target the vulnerable, including children and people with disability. The NDIS will mitigate some of the issues in this space, but we need a royal commission too.
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Arts + Culture
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Susan Broomhall, University of Western Australia; Joanne McEwan, University of Western Australia; Stephanie Tarbin, University of Western Australia
Children’s literature may be a modern genre, but there is a long history of writing for children with some surprisingly unchanging elements.
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Science + Technology
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Paul Gardner-Stephen, Flinders University
Technology designed to keep mobile phones connected during a natural disaster could have wider uses in regional australia.
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Columnists
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Featured jobs
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Curtin University — Bentley, Western Australia
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Deakin University — Burwood, Victoria
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Monash University — Clayton, Victoria
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University of Melbourne — Parkville, Victoria
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Featured events
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Seminar Rm 2, State Library of Victoria, Swanston Street, Melbourne, Victoria, 3000, Australia — Monash University
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Balaclava Road, North Ryde, NSW 2109, Sydney, New South Wales, 2109, Australia — Macquarie University
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United States Studies Centre, Institute Building (H03), City Road, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, 2006, Australia — University of Sydney
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35 Stirling Hwy, Perth, Western Australia, 6009, Australia — University of Western Australia
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