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Editor's note
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Here we are again: a sitting prime minister is challenged from within his own party, he wins but not very convincingly, and the government now appears to be mortally wounded. As Michelle Grattan writes, history would suggest the momentum is now with Peter Dutton in winning the leadership: at 35 to 48 votes, Dutton has a solid base to work from, and spills usually follow the pattern of wound the first time, kill the second.
The Turnbull v Dutton stoush is the latest manifestation of the growth and splintering of the centre-right in Australian politics, which Rob Manwaring believes is having a profound impact on Australian politics in general.
Meanwhile, it’s happy days for Labor. As Geoff Robinsons argues, despite Labor having its own leadership troubles in recent history, the party has managed to run a more coherent and cohesive ideological line - ironically in no small part through its factions.
Now, we wait to see what will happen next. There are already reports of another challenge to Turnbull in the near future - and it’s unclear if we will go to an election before that happens. In either case, the government is, as they say in cricket, in all sorts of trouble.
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Amanda Dunn
Section Editor: Politics + Society
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From Michelle Grattan
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He won. But will he win again?
AAP/Mick Tsikas
Michelle Grattan, University of Canberra
Peter Dutton has a solid base on which to work to become Liberal leader. That's the way it usually goes- wound the first time, kill the second.
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The splintering of the centre-right
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Malcolm Turnbull has survived a leadership challenge from Peter Dutton - for now.
Glenn Hunt/AAP
Rob Manwaring, Flinders University
The crowding of the centre-right is having profound consequences for Australian politics, not just Turnbull’s troubled time as prime minister.
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'Labor in Liberal drag'
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Wes Mountain/The Conversation
Frank Bongiorno, Australian National University
Our penchant for overturning political leaders didn't appear overnight. But it has been intensified through constant polls and, in the Liberals' case, the fact that the party allows it.
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Here's how we got here
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Geoffrey Robinson, Deakin University
Labor has managed more cohesion in recent years because its left and right wings have shifted to common ground - partly through its factions.
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Michelle Grattan, University of Canberra
If the next few days go quietly, Turnbull will live now from poll to poll, with enemies circling like crows over a weakened animal.
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Gregory Melleuish, University of Wollongong
The Liberals once tried to build a big tent to include a range of political positions. Recent conflicts over energy, same-sex marriage and euthanasia show this is no longer sustainable.
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Marc Hudson, University of Manchester
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has abandoned the emissions-reduction component of his signature energy policy, in the latest chapter of a brutal decade-long saga for Australian climate policy.
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