No images? Click here 28 February 2024Biden's re-election stakes made clear in MichiganBy Victoria Cooper, Research Editor Michigan will be a critical battleground in the 2024 presidential election, and as Americans hit the primary polls today, the stakes for President Biden were made abundantly clear. Donald Trump’s path to the Republican nomination and a second shot at winning Michigan in 2024 is increasingly smooth after the former president wrapped up the majority of the delegates available in today’s primary and beat Nikki Haley in her home state of South Carolina with 60 per cent of the primary vote over the weekend. A Trump v. Biden match up might seem reassuring for Democrats. Democrats had an unbroken six-election streak of winning Michigan until Trump’s shocking and marginal (0.23 per cent, approximately 11,000 votes) win in 2016, and had promising results in both the 2020 presidential election and the 2022 midterms. But, past performance is not a great indicator of future results. Biden’s Michigan victory over Trump in 2020 (by about 150,000 votes) paled in comparison to pre-election polling expectations and the Democrats’ previously safe wins in the state between 1992 and 2016. The president might have safely won today’s primary but a surge of “uncommitted” votes, spurred on by a grassroots campaign from Michigan’s Arab Americans and 30 elected state leaders protesting the president’s handling of the war in Gaza, presented a warning for President Biden: a handful of voters in Michigan, including some of the 145,000 Michigan Muslims who voted in 2020, are enough to disrupt the course for Biden’s re-election hopes. With so much at stake, understanding the latest developments has never been more important. Join us for a deeper dive into the Super Tuesday contest and what could be President Biden’s final State of the Union address next week, at a live panel discussion with our special guest from popular ABC television program Planet America, Chas Licciardello, on Friday 8 March, 6-7.30pm. NEWS WRAPCautious optimism for Gaza ceasefire
"My national security advisor tells me that we're close, we're close, we're not done yet. My hope is by next Monday we'll have a ceasefire." President Joe Biden in NBC Interview | 27 February 2024 IN CASE YOU MISSED IT Did you USSC?
BY THE NUMBERS Ukraine aid by the numbers: Australia and the United States comparedBy Georgia Edmonstone, Research Associate, Economic Security On 13 February, the US Senate passed a US$95 billion foreign aid package which included US$60 billion in aid for Ukraine. The United States has provided ongoing military and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine since the beginning of the Russian invasion in February 2022. However, this particular aid package and several others have stalled in the Republican-controlled House, part of a broader trend among Republicans reconsidering providing aid to Ukraine. Last week, Australia committed a further A$50 million in military aid to Ukraine with much less fanfare. Both Australia and the United States have provided military, financial and humanitarian aid to Ukraine. According to the Kiel Institute, the United States has been the single largest supplier of military aid, contributing A$70 billion since 2022, while Australia has donated A$800 million. However, as a proportion of GDP, Estonia, Denmark and Lithuania have contributed the most, with the United States ranking 16th and Australia 24th for their contributions. Manage your email preferences | Forward this email to a friend United States Studies Centre |