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16 February

Biden vs Trump: Indo-Pacific strategies  

The Biden administration has released its highly-anticipated Indo-Pacific Strategy – coinciding with Secretary of State Blinken’s tour around the Indo-Pacific. As former United States Studies Centre Non-Resident Senior Fellow Dr Charles Edel predicted in his preview of the strategy, the Biden administration’s approach shares the same emphasis on a “free and open Indo-Pacific” as the Trump administration’s strategy, but, unlike the Trump approach, does so by “speaking softly and carrying a bigger multilateral stick.” 

Key similarities between the Trump and Biden Indo-Pacific strategies include: 

  • An emphasis on a free, open, prosperous and secure Indo-Pacific as vital to achieving US interests;
  • Highlighting the need for regional prosperity and stability;
  • Providing an approach to counter Chinese coercion in the region; 
  • A focus on stabilising the Korean peninsula and
  • Affirming the role of ASEAN with a promise for deeper US commitment. 

While many goals remain the same, there are stark differences between the two strategies. 

Read the strategy here
 

NEWS WRAP

Diplomacy, diplomacy, diplomacy

  • Last-ditch diplomacy | President Biden stated "as long as there is hope of a diplomatic resolution that prevents the use of force... we will pursue it" in response to the build-up of an estimated 150,000 Russian troops along the borders of Ukraine and Belarus. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken joined Australia and other countries in moving their embassies from Kyiv and urging the evacuation of its citizens. READ MORE HERE
      
  • First US embassy in the Solomon Islands | Following his visit to Australia, US Secretary of State Blinken continued his Indo-Pacific tour last week with a visit to Fiji and talks with the foreign ministers of South Korea and Japan in Hawaii. The trip ended with the announcement of the first US embassy in the Solomon Islands, the release of the administration’s Indo-Pacific strategy, as well as the presentation of a united front between the United States, Japan and South Korea against North Korean missile tests. READ MORE HERE
     
  • Trump tax firm blasts returns | Accounting firm Marzars USA broke from its long-term relationship with the Trump Organization, stating their financial statements concerning the former president’s business between 2011 and 2020 were unreliable. As part of the New York State Office of the Attorney General’s investigation, the Trump Organization’s former chief financial officer Allen Weisselberg was charged last year for crimes related to an alleged tax fraud scheme. READ MORE HERE
     
  • Afghan money going to 9/11 families | Around US$7 billion worth of funds belonging to the former Western-backed Afghanistan government and frozen in the United States are set to be seized by the White House. President Biden signed an executive order on Friday announcing half the funds would be used to support the country’s worsening humanitarian crisis while the other half would go to families of 9/11 victims with legal claims against the Taliban. The move has been met with criticism as Afghanistan delves deeper into economic crisis. READ MORE HERE
     
  • Freedom convoy catching on | Inspired by the ‘freedom convoy’ of Canadian truckers who successfully blocked the trade link between Canada and the United States for seven days in protest of vaccine mandates, a loose and haphazard US version of the protest is being planned for March. Ontario declared a state of emergency in response to the protests, implicating US$235 million worth of US-Canada trade each day and forcing US car manufacturers to scale back their production. READ MORE HERE
     

  • Gun company to pay Sandy Hook families | The families of victims of the Sandy Hook Elementary School massacre in 2012 are set to receive over AU$100 million from gun company, Remington Arms in an insurance settlement. The settlement comes after nine families sued Remington Arms for its marketing campaign for the AR-15 weapon used in the massacre and saw the sales of the gun rise from 100,000 in 2005 to 2 million by 2012. READ MORE HERE

     

 

Back in December ... I set out the United States’ vision for a free and open Indo-Pacific, which – more than any other region – will shape the trajectory of the 21st century

Remarks by Secretary Antony Blinken Melbourne, Australia | 11 February 2022

 

WEBINAR | 1 March

Preview of Biden's first State of the Union Address

The US Constitution mandates the president “shall from time to time give Congress information of the State of the Union”, which has now become an annual address from the sitting president. This is an opportunity for the president to make their case – celebrating successes so far and setting the policy trajectory for the year ahead. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi invited President Biden to give his first State of the Union Address on 1 March 2022.

Facing dwindling poll numbers and an acrimoniously divided country, can President Biden’s address win him much needed political capital ahead of the November 2022 midterm elections? How much will the Indo-Pacific or other foreign policy feature in his address? What should Australia listen out for?

To discuss these issues, please join us before President Biden’s address for a webinar event with USSC politics experts Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy David Smith, Non-Resident Senior Fellow Bruce Wolpe and Research Associate Victoria Cooper in conversation with CEO Professor Simon Jackman.

WHEN:
SYDNEY | Tuesday, 1 March 2022 | 10:00-11:00am AEDT                              WASHINGTON DC | Monday, 28 February 2022 | 6:00-7:00pm EST

COST:
Free but registration is essential.

You can also subscribe to have event invitations and reminders sent straight to your inbox, so you never have to miss an event!

REGISTER NOW
 

ANALYSIS

US Indo-Pacific power depends on restraint in Ukraine

Ashley Townshend
Director, Foreign Policy and Defence, United States Studies Centre

As US Secretary of State Antony Blinken visits Australia this week for a Quadrilateral Security Dialogue foreign ministers’ meeting, his message will be that Washington can walk and chew gum at the same time. Amid escalating US-Russian tensions over the standoff in Ukraine, the Biden administration is eager to convince its Indo-Pacific allies and partners that it is still focused on their part of the world.

But Washington’s top diplomat may find himself stuck in a vice. In Canberra, New Delhi, Tokyo, and key Southeast Asian capitals, there are growing concerns that the crisis in Ukraine is distracting the Biden administration from Indo-Pacific challenges and could embroil the overstretched superpower in yet another long engagement. Back in the United States and parts of Europe, however, prominent voices are calling on the administration to show greater “strength” against Russia, both in support of Ukraine and as a signal of US resolve to the rest of the world. These dynamics pull in very different directions.

To safeguard the United States’ credibility and strategic position in the Indo-Pacific, the Biden team must continue to act with restraint over Ukraine. This doesn’t mean abandoning Kyiv, ignoring NATO’s security concerns, or looking the other way from the invasion of a sovereign country. But it does mean keeping the Ukraine crisis in a global strategic perspective—and addressing it in a disciplined way that preserves finite attention and resources for Washington’s “priority theater.”

This is an excerpt from an article published by Foreign Policy

READ MORE HERE
 

BY THE NUMBERS

Ontario truckers halt US$2B goods

As the United States biggest trading partner in 2021, it is estimated that the seven-day blockade of the Ambassador Bridge between Ontario and Detroit halted over US$2 billion worth of goods crossing between the two countries.

An estimated 30 per cent of annual trade between Canada and the United States crosses the Ambassador Bridge with 10,000 trucks crossing daily carrying US$325 million in goods. 

Read more By the numbers analysis here

 

VIDEO

What can the Cold War teach us about strategic competition? A conversation with historian Hal Brands

Did you miss last weeks webinar? The USSC was joined by historian Hal Brands in conversation with USSC Senior Lecturer Dr Gorana Grgic to discuss his new book, The Twilight Struggle: What the Cold War Teaches Us about Great Power Rivalry Today.

Catch more analysis on the United States on the USSC YouTube channel.

 

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The United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney is a university-based research centre, dedicated to the rigorous analysis of American foreign policy, economics, politics and culture. The Centre is a national resource, that builds Australia’s awareness of the dynamics shaping America — and critically — their implications for Australia.

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