No images? Click here 18 September 2024Second Trump attack unlikely to move the needleIn the wildest election cycle in living memory, former president Donald Trump survived a second attempt on his life – this time at his private golf club in West Palm Beach, Florida. The would-be assassin, 58-year-old Ryan Wesley Routh, allegedly aimed an assault weapon at Trump through the fence of the golf club before he was spotted by Secret Service agents. A man with a history of criminal convictions and mental health issues, Routh was reportedly carrying a GoPro camera to broadcast the murder. Political watchers hesitated to say whether the incident will have any significant impact on the polls. In a deeply polarised country, voter opinion - following a string of election shocks - appears to have has "calcified." While Trump received an outpouring of sympathy and a bump in the polls after a shooter targeted him at a televised rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, on 13 July, analysts note that it was only small. While an important poll out of Iowa shows Vice President Kamala Harris with significant momentum in that solidly red state – only trailing Trump by 4 points, compared to President Joe Biden who trailed Trump by 18 points in June – polling averages in 7 critical swing states show the race is still extremely close and within the standard margin of error. NEWS WRAPWar of words over AUKUS
“I HATE TAYLOR SWIFT!” Former president Donald Trump on Truth Social | 16 September 2024 EVENT Two weeks after the US elects its next president, the United States Studies Centre will host its flagship conference, the Sydney International Strategy Forum – bringing together key national security strategists from the Biden-Harris and Trump-Pence administrations, along with other experts and senior policymakers from the United States, Australia, Japan, Korea and elsewhere – to assess the outcome of the election and its impact on the world. The forum will dive into how the next US administration will address challenges such as China’s rising influence, regional security architecture, and economic integration in the Indo-Pacific. It will also provide unrivalled insight into the next steps on AUKUS and defence cooperation, US trade policy and the decoupling debate. WHEN WHERE COST IN CASE YOU MISSED IT Did you USSC?
BY THE NUMBERS Americans and allies alarmed by political violence in the United StatesPolling from the USSC's Allies and partners poll 2024 found that Americans and their allies remain worried about political unrest in the United States. Over three-quarters of Americans (79%) and Australians (76%) said they were concerned about the threat of political violence in the United States. Only 12% of Australians and 11% of Americans reported being "not at all concerned," with roughly 10% in both countries uncertain. The USSC's full polling report, which also covers views on the functioning of US democracy, the effectiveness of Congress, and the impact of partisan polarisation, is available here. Manage your email preferences | Forward this email to a friend United States Studies Centre |