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These are treacherous times, to say the least. From the war in Ukraine and the energy crisis, to soaraway inflation and growing tensions around Taiwan. The world has not felt so precarious in decades.
David Bach, a professor of strategy and political economy, has been talking to hundreds of business leaders over the past couple of months to understand how they are responding. He lays out four scenarios for where the world could be heading over the next two to five years, ranging from the optimistic to the catastrophic.
We also look separately at how the war in Ukraine will be affected by the onset of winter. The perhaps surprising conclusion is that it’s bad news for the Russians. And as the new UK prime minister, Rishi Sunak, unveils his cabinet, the countdown begins to the government’s first big financial statement on October 31. You may have caught some of the fallout around his predecessor and whether benefits should be raised in line with wages or inflation. Here's an explainer on why pegging it to earnings will leave those on low incomes worse off.
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President Xi Jinping at the Communist Party Congress on October 16.
Zuma Press Inc/Alamy
David Bach, International Institute for Management Development (IMD)
How the crises in geopolitics and the world economy could affect us over the next two to five years.
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Brrr: a trench in the Donetsk region of east Ukraine where fighting has been going on since 2014.
ZUMA Press Inc/Alamy Stock Photo
Frank Ledwidge, University of Portsmouth
The gruelling winter months have arrived in Ukraine and both sides are digging in for a long few months of sub-zero temperatures.
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The chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, has warned of more difficult decisions to come.
Xinhua/Alamy
Daniel Edmiston, University of Leeds; Kate Summers, London School of Economics and Political Science
Affordability is a question of political and policy priorities. If we want a fair and adequate social security system, we cannot continue cutting the resources of those who already have the least.
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Ukraine Invasion
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Stefan Wolff, University of Birmingham; David Hastings Dunn, University of Birmingham
The Kremlin has a range of non-nuclear options for putting more pressure on Ukraine and the west.
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Politics + Society
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Stephen Clear, Bangor University
He’s the third prime minister to take office since the last election and
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Arts + Culture
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Fiona Moore, Royal Holloway University of London
The battle for the Iron throne throws up all sorts of leaders that each has different leadership styles.
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Business + Economy
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Muhammad Ali Nasir, University of Leeds
The new government faces both short- and long-term problems when trying to reignite investor confidence in the UK
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Environment
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Georgina McAllister, Coventry University
A specialist in conflict-affected food and farming visits the Gaza Strip.
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Health
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Jolanta Burke, RCSI University of Medicine and Health Sciences; Annie Curtis, RCSI University of Medicine and Health Sciences
‘Sad’ is most common during the colder months.
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Ana Leite, Durham University; Damien Ridge, University of Westminster; Nisreen Alwan, University of Southampton
Start by creating a safe space by showing you beleive them.
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Science + Technology
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Genoveva Esteban, Bournemouth University; James Weiss, Bournemouth University
Microbes are so tiny humans can’t see them without special equipment. But the discovery of 20 new species will help scientists map the evolutionary tree of life.
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