Through all the uncertainty and anguish of 2022, I bring you a little bit of good news: China’s biggest port is finally heading back to normal after nearly two months on the sidelines. Shanghai, which handles a fifth of the nation’s huge cargo volumes, has never ground to a complete halt during the city’s lockdown, but it has been functioning at severely reduced capacity.

Reviving the nation’s No. 1 industrial hub – even as places like Beijing return to tighter COVID-19 restrictions – has got factories burning the midnight oil to catch up with order backlogs. And with container cranes beginning to swing again at full tilt at the mouth of the Yangtze, the government has also been announcing tax cuts, emergency loans and interest rate cuts to try to breathe life into China’s ailing economy.

This all sounds very promising for global supply chains that have been punched left and right by Chinese lockdowns and the Ukraine war, but logistics experts Sarah Schiffling and Nikolaos Kanellos explain that it’s not quite so simple. Instead, another summer of supply chain hell looks distinctly likely.

They do at least see a silver lining for the future, namely that “just in time” manufacturing has fallen way out of fashion for supply chains. As if we didn’t need one more case study in its vulnerabilities, I’ve also been learning that “just in time” has played a role in America’s great baby formula shortage.

Steven Vass

Business + Economy Editor

Shanghai: world’s biggest port is returning to normal, but supply chains will get worse before they get better

Sarah Schiffling, Liverpool John Moores University; Nikolaos Valantasis Kanellos, Technological University Dublin

China lockdowns and Ukraine war have made global supply chains far worse in 2022 than many expected.

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