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University of Exeter
 

EEIST Project's Newsletter Summer 2022

 

Welcome to our summer issue from the new EEIST team!

 

As some of you will know, following J-F Mercure's stepping down as coordinator of the EEIST project, we are pleased to announce changes to the Senior Leadership Team.

The new EEIST Senior leadership team will be led by Professor Tim Lenton (University of Exeter) as the Project Director. The rest of the Senior leadership team will be: Professor Michael Grubb (UCL) who will take on the Strategic Director role, Simon Sharpe (unaffiliated) who will become the Policy Impact Lead, Dr Peter Barbrook-Johnson (Oxford University) who will be the Technical Modelling Lead and Dr Cristina Peñasco (Cambridge University) will be the Evaluation Lead.

J-F has obtained an agreement with the World Bank to remain part of EEIST. His new role will be as a Strategic Advisor to the Senior Leadership Team. He is on secondment, which means he will also remain an Exeter academic.

The Project Management Office of EEIST will remain in Exeter. Paul Drummond (UCL) will join the team with joint programme management and research responsibilities.

EEIST has done a lot of useful work already and built a substantial network for more great work in the future. We thank Tim, Michael, Simon, Pete, Cristina, and Paul for stepping into these key roles for the remainder of the project.

Have a wonderful summer!

The EEIST Project Management Team

 

News and Communities of Practice Updates

University of Exeter

How new economic models can support policymakers in boosting climate action

 

By Nicole Kempis, Climate Strategies

In mid-June, the EEIST team and Climate Strategies hosted an event in Bonn to discuss how new economic models can support policymaking to accelerate the low-carbon transition.

The event aimed to develop relationships between international policy-makers and transition modellers, as well as build understanding within the modelling community. World-renowned modellers, philanthropic organisations, and representatives from national governments attended the hybrid roundtable. International organisations, such as the World Bank, UNDP, and International Energy Agency also joined.

Key technical findings included the need for interdisciplinarity within the modelling community. Moreover, findings confirmed that existing models may fail to predict tipping points, induced innovations, and rapidly decreasing technological costs related to low-carbon technology, such as electric vehicles.

At the national level, experts suggested a number of key policymaking principles that could support a low-carbon transition. These policymaking principles were previewed and tested with the stakeholders at the meeting, ahead of their launch at the Clean Energy Ministerial in Pittsburgh. Policymakers responded by highlighting the importance of contextually specific modelling that considers the impact of net-zero transitions on inequality and poverty.

At the international level, experts highlighted the need to increase international coordination to boost investment in green technologies. Participants also acknowledged that supporting the uptake of green technology and low-carbon investments in the Global South will be a critical part of the transition.

Overarching takeaways included the importance of actively pursuing close relationships between modellers and policymakers, as both groups need to learn to ask the right questions and engage a diversity of stakeholders. Academic modellers agreed on the need to take an interdisciplinary approach to research that responds to country-specific requirements, with the aim of developing accessible findings and impactful tools for policymakers.

 

FABLE Consortium

The FABLE consortium was held in Brussels on 9th June - please see the details of this below.

 

EEIST's Next Deliverable on its way...

 

The EEIST team are working hard on the next collaborative deliverable: General principles for policy-making in the energy transition.  This report is a combination of all the work of EEIST partners and outlines ten principles for successful policy-making on low carbon transitions.  This will be published in September.

Updates from our International Partners

Brazil

The Brazilian CPR is organizing a workshop on the 3rd of August, to be held at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ). The workshop is intended to bring policy makers, policy officers, industries, public institutions and academics together in Brazil at UFRJ to support answering current policy questions in the context of energy transition adopting modelling based applications, and create a two way channel to both use the models to inform policy at best, as well as gathering further feedback to develop models in line to answering those policy questions. Several policy makers and stakeholders will be present, including representatives of the Banco Nacional do DESenvolvimento (BNDES), of the Empresa de Pesquisa Energética (EPE) and of the Brazilian Association of Photovoltaic Solar Energy (ABSOLAR).

China

The EEIST China Community of Practice Webinar took place on 28 June 2022 and was well-attendedThe webinar was supported many institutions including the British Embassy in Beijing, Tsinghua, ERI and the Guangzhou Institute of Energy Conversion (GIEC)

The webinar presented two ongoing research topics. Ms. Zhu Songli from ERI, Dr Peter Barbrook-Johnson, at University of Oxford, and Professor Han Zangang from Beijing Normal University shared the preliminary results of a comparative study of ETS vs carbon tax by using agent-based model and system mapping. This explained the new research methodology, and model framework. Dr Mei Mei (Aileen) Lam of the University of Macau shared her research on the tipping point of electric vehicle development, arguing that the energy transition in China's transport sector could further reduce the cost of electric vehicles. 

In addition to the above, there have been many meetings with the China team (ERI and BNU) such as:

  • On April 28, Professor Zhu, the coordinator of China team, attended the Visual Senior Oversight Group and presented the overall situation of China study.
  • To improve the understanding of coding team on electricity power system, Mr. Jia LIU from Renmu Consultant Company joined the modelling team to provide specific technical support.
  • The primary outputs of the ABPTM were jointly presented at the 2nd EEIST China Community of Practice meeting held on June 18.

India 

In India, positive discussions have been held with NITI Aayog about the project contributing to the India Climate and Energy Modelling Forum. The team at TERI has changed, but one of the members has moved to a key role in NITI Aayog. 

There is an ongoing discussion at TERI and NITI Aayog on other ways that EEIST’s work can be integrated with the ICEMF task force agenda.

There will soon be two articles published, which will be shared in the next edition. 

EU

As part of the EU Community of Practice we took part in The Food, Agriculture, Biodiversity, Land-Use, and (bio)Energy (FABLE) Consortium workshops in Brussels on 9th June. FABLE mobilizes leading knowledge institutions across the globe and supports them to develop decision-support tools and analysis for integrated long-term food and land-use pathways at national and global scales. The consortium includes interdisciplinary teams of researchers from 20 countries including Brazil, China, United Kingdom, and several EU Member States. We presented the results of the consultations with policy makers and modellers to highlight the current approach to policy development and appraisal as well as the ROA framework. In discussions afterwards we focussed on the detail of policy led evidence making (as opposed to evidence led policy making) and the importance of expanding our approaches within the context of radical transformation. An interesting discussion explored whether a bottom up approach to introducing alternative appraisal approaches and policy development by working with devolved administrations, regional governments or city authorities would complement the more ‘top down’ approach of EEIST and if the discussion of radical transformation was easier to have at these smaller scales.

 

 

Updates

University of Exeter

Staff changes around the globe

 

Several people have joined the EEIST team. Welcome to the following: 

  • Dr Arabella Miller-Wang has joined the EEIST team to facilitate the collaboration and coordination between the University of Oxford and its Chinese partners. She also provides research support for the project.
  • Liliia Bilous has joined the EEIST team at Anglia Ruskin University. Liliia will be helping to lead on the EU CPR events that we have planned for the final year of EEIST as well as wider outreach to stakeholders across the EU. She will also support on the model evaluation.
  • Sarah Board has joined the EEIST team at Exeter University as an Administrator. Sarah brings with her a wealth of experience gained from working with both Professor Tim Lenton at Exeter, and previously in the legal sector.
  • Jon Stenning and Jennifer Dix have joined the EEIST team at Cambridge Econometrics.

Some people have left the EEIST team for new ventures. We would like to take this opportunity to say thank you, goodbye and good luck to the following:

  • Dr Pablo Salas from Cambridge University 
  • Unnada Chewpreecha from Cambridge Econometrics
 

Events

University of Exeter

Doyne Farmer presents on sensitive intervention points and the green transitions:

 

In the eighth webinar in the Discussion Series on 'Tipping Elements, Irreversibility, and Abrupt Changes in the Earth System' run by AIMES, the Earth Commission, Future Earth and the WCRP Safe Landing Climates Lighthouse Activity, Doyne Farmer discusses the sensitive intervention points needed to make the green energy transition happen as quickly as possible. Doyne’s presentation draws on his extensive research into energy costs and forecasting. https://www.inet.ox.ac.uk/files/energy_transition_paper-INET-working-paper.pdf

Watch the webinar https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VCDwKhmLHmE

Positive Tipping Points Meeting with Professor Tim Lenton & Johan Rockstrom

 

Join Professor Tim Lenton (Director of EEIST and the Global Systems Institute at University of Exeter) and Johan Rockström (Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) for a unique meeting that will explore the latest developments in both negative and positive tipping points, at scales from local to global, and from theory to practice. Speakers will be from academia, industry, government, and Third Sector to highlight the need for rapid and transformative solutions as well as the risks and early warning requirements on negative tipping points.

https://global-tipping-points.org/

 

Selected Papers and Publications From EEIST Researchers

University of Exeter

New paper on Decarbonization in state-owned power companies

 

State-owned power companies (SPCs) together are responsible for over six billion tonnes of direct carbon emissions globally – more than any single country except China. However, decarbonisation policies tend to target private companies. A new paper co-authored by PCT researcher Alex Clark has analysed six major SPCs and found them to have hugely undervalued decarbonisation potential. The authors have developed a toolbox of policy suggestions to help drive them towards low-carbon energy generation. The authors see SPCs as low-hanging fruit for accelerating decarbonisation.
Read the paper https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095965262201407X?via%3Dihub

Read an op-ed by co-authors, Alex Clark and Moritz Schwarz

https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/blog/earth-day-2022-state-owned-energy-companies/

 

New book published

 

Dr Peter Barbrook-Johnson of the University of Oxford has had a new book published on Systems Mapping: how to build and use causal models of systems.  You can find this here: 

https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-031-01919-7

 

Next issue

University of Exeter

Our newsletter is published quarterly: please send news and events to Sarah Board: s.board@exeter.ac.uk by 19th September at the latest.  The next newsletter will be published at the end of September