The Delta variant is showing no sign of slowing, with record case numbers in NSW at the weekend and lockdowns extended or in place due to rising cases in the ACT, Victoria and New Zealand.

Delta has changed what we thought we knew about the coronavirus. It infects more people, and people infect others sooner, compared with the original Wuhan strain. No wonder it’s a nightmare for contact tracers.

So what now for the virus? Will it keep mutating until it can evade all our vaccines? Will it become more deadly?

Hamish McCallum, who studies emerging viruses, explains what evolutionary theory predicts will happens next. In the short term, the virus will mutate to infect more people, sooner and will continue to evade vaccines. But don’t forget, the virus wants us to survive so it can too.

Anna Evangeli

Deputy Editor: Health+Medicine

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How will Delta evolve? Here’s what the theory tells us

Hamish McCallum, Griffith University

Evolution explains why the Delta variant spreads faster than the original Wuhan strain. It explains what we might see with future variants. And it suggests how we might step up public health measures.

AMES Australia/Wikimedia Commons

We can’t compare Australia’s intake of Afghan refugees with the post-Vietnam War era. Here’s why

Rachel Stevens, Australian Catholic University

Since the 1970s, Australian immigration policy has changed dramatically, meaning Afghan refugees face far greater hurdles than those who fled Saigon after the Vietnam War.

Thyssenkrupp

Today’s decisions lock in industry emissions for decades — here’s how to get them right

Alison Reeve, Grattan Institute

A new report says sometimes the best decision to reduce emissions is to invest in new technology before it’s fully proven. Government will have to share the risks.

Daniel Mariuz/AAP

Land of opportunity: more sustainable Australian farming would protect our lucrative exports (and the planet)

Frank Jotzo, Australian National University; David Lindenmayer, Australian National University

Adopting more environmentally conscious farm models would safeguard our agricultural exports, cut emissions and help protect nature.

Unsplash/Cristina Anne Costello

When life gives you lemons … 4 Stoic tips for getting through lockdown from Epictetus

Matthew Sharpe, Deakin University

Stoic philosopher Epictetus tells us not to worry about things we can’t control, prepare for the unexpected and slow down on the judginess. This is great lockdown advice over 2,000 years later.

Anna Scott

Coral, meet coral: how selective breeding may help the world’s reefs survive ocean heating

Emily Howells, Southern Cross University; David Abrego, Southern Cross University

Corals in the Persian Gulf are tough - they can withstand temperatures that would kill corals elsewhere. And there’s good news: it’s easy to cross-breed their heat-tolerance genes into other corals.

Education

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  • We name the 26 Australian frogs at greatest risk of extinction by 2040 — and how to save them

    Graeme Gillespie, The University of Melbourne; Conrad Hoskin, James Cook University; Hayley Geyle, Charles Darwin University; Jaana Dielenberg, Charles Darwin University; Nicola Mitchell, The University of Western Australia; Stephen Garnett, Charles Darwin University

    We’ve identified three frog species very likely to already be extinct. Another four species on our list are still surviving, but not likely to make it to 2040 without help.

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