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We want to give our readers stories during the 2024 election campaign season that focus on the stakes of the election and not the horse race, and that explain crucial concepts and history behind how elections and democracy work – or don’t work.
We’ll be bringing you stories by a range of scholars, of course, from historians to demographers, legal experts and political scientists. Among them: Charlie Hunt, an expert on Congress, elections and political representation, at Boise State University. Hunt is writing a series of articles for us, accompanied by videos, that step back from the daily headlines and aim to help readers understand everything from the “largely unquestioned influence” of Iowa and New Hampshire on the race for president to this week’s dispatch, which looks at the idea of politicians’ home-field advantage and how that could help Nikki Haley in the upcoming South Carolina primary on
Feb. 24.
Haley is banking on a good showing in her home state. But polls put her behind Trump. Hunt says a review of historical data shows “in the history of the modern presidential primary, since 1972, there has not been a single eventual nominee from either party who did not win their home state.”
“In this sense,” Hunt says, “Haley winning the nomination without her home state would be literally unprecedented.”
Stay tuned for more of Charlie Hunt when he tackles questions like “Could a third-party candidate really win the presidency?” and “Do lobbyist donations change votes in Congress?” And I moderated a fascinating online discussion yesterday with Charlie and Prof. Stefanie Lindquist. You can watch it on YouTube if you missed it.
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Naomi Schalit
Senior Editor, Politics + Democracy
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Nikki Haley greets supporters at a campaign stop in Aiken, S.C., on Feb. 5, 2024.
Allison Joyce /AFP via Getty Images
Charlie Hunt, Boise State University
A presidential candidate’s ‘home state advantage’ should help them win a primary, which then bodes well for how they do in successive contests. But if they lose their home state, they’re in trouble.
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Unchecked, politicians are likely to try to grab as much electoral power as they can.
Fabrice LEROUGE/ONOKY via Getty Images
Benjamin Schneer, Harvard Kennedy School; Kevin DeLuca, Yale University; Maxwell Palmer, Boston University
Electoral redistricting is a high-stakes political game, so Democrats and Republicans have a hard time playing fair. When they’re made to work together, a more representative result is possible.
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A memorial to Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny laid in Saint Petersburg on February 16, 2024.
Olga Maltseva/AFP via Getty Images
James D. Long, University of Washington
Donald Trump says he’s being politically persecuted, like Russian democracy martyr Alexei Navalny, who died while in a Russian prison on Feb. 16. A scholar says there’s no comparison between the men.
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Neil O'Brian, University of Oregon; Chandler James, University of Oregon
While young voters say they would be more likely to vote for Biden after they learn more about the economy and other topics, they did not appear affected by Donald Trump’s norm-defying behavior.
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Michael J. Socolow, University of Maine
Tucker Carlson’s sycophantic interview with Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, and his subsequent praise for Russia’s subways, supermarkets and cheeseburgers, was not journalism. It was propaganda.
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Sarah Stonbely, Northwestern University
The number of nonprofit news outlets is holding steady as they go out of business just as fast as they are founded.
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Regina Smyth, Indiana University
Alexei Navalny, a persistent thorn in the side of Russian President Vladimir Putin, died on Feb. 16, 2024, in prison, authorities said.
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Jeff Inglis, The Conversation
Both men have faced criticism about what can appear to be obvious signs of aging, including questions about their memory and cognitive abilities.
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Paul Lushenko, US Army War College
Drones have dominated images of the war in Ukraine, but an expert on drone warfare casts doubt on many of the grand claims made for the weapons.
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Anthony Pereira, Florida International University
The third-term president has used his experience and personal relationships with lawmakers to build the majorities that now support his agenda.
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Eleanor Brown, Fordham University; June Carbone, University of Minnesota; Naomi Cahn, University of Virginia
Marriage on its own won’t do away with child poverty, and in fact it can create even more instability for low-income families.
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