So will Kamala Harris triumph tonight after running a disciplined campaign and leading the Democrats for just three months? Or will Donald Trump return to the Oval Office despite a campaign that became increasingly chaotic as election day approached?

The world is watching — Canadian policymakers chief among them. The Canada-U.S. relationship is a critical one for government officials given the deep economic ties between both countries. Today in The Conversation Canada, Kevin Quigley of the MacEachen Institute for Public Policy and Governance at Dalhousie University explains how scenario planning could be particularly helpful to Canada’s policymakers, especially if the results are close and turmoil ensues in the United States.

He writes: “Policymakers increasingly need tools and skills that allow them to anticipate, address and communicate risks over which they have limited control … the U.S. election and its aftermath in the weeks and months to come are a salient and consequential example.”

In a second story, Quigley writes about the Trump administration’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, and how a second Trump presidency could affect the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention — and the implications for Canada.

Today, we’ll have an analysis on the importance of accepting defeat after losing elections.

Our global network, meantime, also has a number of stories on the U.S. election, including an explainer on when polls close today and when results will be known, another on the Electoral College and what Trump means when he talks about dismantling the “deep state.”

Also today:

Lee-Anne Goodman

Politics Editor

Donald Trump watches as a video featuring Vice President Kamala Harris plays at a campaign rally in Latrobe, on Oct. 19, 2024. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

How scenario planning could help Canadian policymakers deal with American political chaos

Kevin Quigley, Dalhousie University

Scenario planning provides an effective way for Canadian officials to address high levels of uncertainty in the Canada-U.S. relationship. Here’s how it works.

Then-president Donald Trump, answering questions after speaking about the coronavirus at the White House on Feb. 29, 2020. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster, File)

Friends like these: What a second Trump term may mean for the CDC, and how it affects Canada

Kevin Quigley, Dalhousie University

Should Trump be re-elected, the CDC will likely exist on a smaller budget with a reduced role internationally. Lessons from COVID-19 show this will increase Canadian vulnerabilities.

Independent Special Interlocutor for Missing Children and Unmarked Graves and Burial Sites associated with Indian Residential Schools, Kimberly Murray, delivers remarks on an Indigenous-led reparations framework during a national gathering in Gatineau, Que., on Oct. 29, 2024. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Spencer Colby

Canada and churches have moral obligations for the reparations of missing and disappeared Indigenous children: Final Report

Frank Deer, University of Manitoba

The report focuses on unaccounted missing children, unmarked grave sites, and the roles of government and churches in the Indian Residential School genocide.

Saskatchewan Party leader Scott Moe gestures while speaking during a campaign event in Moose Jaw, Sask., on Oct. 24, 2024. Moe went on to win the election. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Heywood Yu

Scott Moe won in Saskatchewan promising economic prosperity, but does that truly help citizens?

Iryna Khovrenkov, University of Regina

Many politicians cite economic indicators as a measure of success. But what about well-being? Here’s the scene from Saskatchewan following Scott Moe’s win.

La Conversation Canada

L'Okapi, aussi appelé « girafe des forêts », est un symbole national de la République démocratique du Congo. Le braconnage figure parmi les principales menaces à sa survie. (Shutterstock)

Le braconnage explose dans les zones de conflits en Afrique. Le droit international doit intervenir

Blaise-Pascal Ntirumenyerwa Mihigo, Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM)

Le braconnage est un problème criant sur le continent africain. Or, des améliorations au droit international humanitaire pourraient aider à endiguer ce fléau dans les zones de conflits.

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