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Nau mai, haere mai.
Labor’s landslide victory in last weekend’s Australian election surprised many, not least the party itself. The final polls were pointing to a win, sure, but the catastrophic implosion of Peter Dutton’s Liberal Party was not in the script.
In hindsight, there were signs. As Australian political analyst David Smith outlines, the Liberal campaign was a mess, undercooked and badly served. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Labor stayed on-message and disciplined. But that wasn’t all.
As with the Canadian election in late April, there was another actor backstage: Donald Trump. His impact has been called an “anti-Trump bump” and a “Trump slump”, but either way the effect has seen a startling reversal of political fortunes.
What does this have to do with New Zealand? In Grant Duncan’s view, it offers lessons for both the left and right here, including a warning to “Trump-adjacent” politicians who might imagine culture-war rhetoric will appeal beyond their existing small base.
With no general election soon, however, both sides of the divide have time to take stock and fine tune their policies and messaging.
Leaders on the right can “quietly distance themselves from the Trump brand”, while those on the left “could do worse than follow Anthony Albanese’s example of … promoting his own country’s values of fairness and mutual respect”.
Beyond that we should probably leave predictions to the fortune tellers – as Australia and Canada have just shown, we live in volatile times.
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Finlay Macdonald
New Zealand Editor
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Grant Duncan, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau
The ‘Trump effect’ has influenced elections in Canada and Australia. But the New Zealand left can’t bank on the same thing happening here.
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David Smith, University of Sydney
The Coalition should resist seeing Trump as a natural disaster over which they had no control. Peter Dutton made many other missteps that doomed his party’s chances.
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Victoria Stace, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
Anti-money laundering rules make it very difficult for ex-prisoners to open a bank account – meaning it’s harder to get paid or receive a benefit.
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Dougal Sutherland, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington
Young people are viewing harmful content unintentionally, according to new research from the Classification Office. But parents need to resist simply taking away devices.
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Stacy Vallis, Auckland University of Technology; Andrew Burgess, Auckland University of Technology; Ann Morrison, Auckland University of Technology; Imelda Piri, Auckland University of Technology; Priscila Besen, Auckland University of Technology
From Australia to Sweden to New Zealand, these towns demonstrate how managed retreat in action is a fine balancing act between history, culture and community.
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Alexander Plum, Auckland University of Technology; Kabir Dasgupta, Auckland University of Technology
New Zealand’s clean slate scheme is meant to let people leave their criminal past behind. But people are waiting seven years to leave their past behind, hurting their job prospects.
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Bethan Greener, Te Kunenga ki Pūrehuroa – Massey University
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth called the Women, Peace and Security initiative ‘woke’ and ‘divisive’. But history shows soldiers of all stripes have served with honour.
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Bronwyn Isaacs, University of Waikato
Some countries have already moved to regulate the use of artificial intelligence in political campaigning. New Zealand should follow suit.
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Robert G. Patman, University of Otago
Forcing Ukraine to give up stolen territory in return for peace would set a terrible precedent – and potentially put New Zealand’s future security at risk.
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From our foreign editions
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Michelle Cull, Western Sydney University
Once the election hype settles, Labor must deliver on its promises. And, of course, these policies will ultimately have to be paid for.
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Frank Bongiorno, Australian National University
Perhaps that’s what those fabled punters want: not a Trump-inspired disruptor, nor a radical visionary, but the kind of bloke you’d trust with your tax return.
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Toby Slade, University of Technology Sydney; Dijanna Mulhearn, University of Technology Sydney
The Met’s exhibition charts the evolution of the Black dandy from the 18th century to today. Here’s what to look for on the red carpet.
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Tom Felle, University of Galway
Political attacks are now supercharged by technology platforms retreating from accountability, and exploited by hostile foreign powers.
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Thomas Klassen, York University, Canada
In the coming months, Canada’s political leaders and their parties face difficult circumstances — most importantly, how Mark Carney manages the relationship with Donald Trump.
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John M. Longo, Rutgers University - Newark
The investor has already given much of his $169 billion fortune to charity and has pledged to donate nearly all of the rest.
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Hannah Bunting, University of Exeter
The Conservatives and Labour together barely scraped a quarter of seats – but Reform’s victory came on a historically low vote share.
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Christine Cairns Fortuin, Mississippi State University
From sending more pollen airborne to breaking up pollen grains, which lets them penetrate deeper into your lungs, the wind is not the allergy sufferer’s friend.
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