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By all accounts, Donald Trump was planning to launch his bid for the 2024 US presidential campaign tomorrow. It’s fair to say the 45th president has been in campaign mode pretty much continually since he lost the 2020 election, holding regular mass rallies at which he perpetuates his message that the election had been unlawfully “stolen” but that he would be making America great again after regaining the White House in two years’ time.
But the midterm elections last week put a serious crimp in this plan. Before the vote, Trump had endorsed a slate of Republican candidates who share his views and who would owe him allegiance were he to run again. But, despite the widespread expectation that these candidates would be part of a “red wave” that would easily hand the Republican party control of both houses of the US Congress, things didn’t go according to plan.
It's now clear the Democrats have retained control of the Senate, and the House of Representatives remains narrowly in play. And many in the mainstream of the GOP are blaming the former president. It looks as if America may have passed the point of “peak Trump”. Meanwhile, waiting in the wings is the Florida governor, Ron DeSantis, a former Trump protege who has his own ambitions for the top job.
Meanwhile, as winter approaches, you probably need to find out about two new COVID variants, the omicron “grandchildren” BQ.1 and XBB. And, as more women turn to HRT to help them cope with the symptoms of menopause, a new study has found a link between HRT therapy and depression. But that doesn’t mean the treatment causes mental health problems.
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Jonathan Este
Associate Editor, International Affairs Editor
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Donald and Melania Trump vote for the US midterms in their adopted home state of Florida.
EPA-EFE/Cristobal Herrerea-Ulashkevich
David Hastings Dunn, University of Birmingham
The former president’s star appears to be on the wane, which could affect his decision whether to run for the presidency in 2024.
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Mahir KART/Shutterstock
Victoria Easton, University of Leeds
Two new omicron variants seem to be waiting in the wings to usurp BA.5. Here’s what we know about BQ.1 and XBB.
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Women use HRT to manage a variety of menopause symptoms.
Image Point Fr/ Shutterstock
Ciara McCabe, University of Reading
Despite what some media outlets have reported, this latest study only shows a link between the two.
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Politics + Society
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Victoria Canning, University of Bristol
Recent scenes at Victoria Station and Manston immigration centre are one way the government drives anti-migration sentiment.
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Andi Hoxhaj, UCL
Levels of poverty shot up in Albania during COVID when there was little governmental support.
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Sam Power, University of Sussex
The prospect of Boris Johnson and Liz Truss adding peers to the House of Lords has reopened a knotty debate that never quite gets resolved.
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Thomas Gift, UCL
The two were close colleagues, but now there’s little love lost between Trump and the man who may ruin his chances of another try for the White House.
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Bobby Duffy, King's College London
One in seven respondents believed the victims of the Manchester terrorist attack were ‘crisis actors’.
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Arts + Culture
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Neil Turnbull, Nottingham Trent University
Crises are no longer something to fix but situations to manage.
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Business + Economy
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Larisa Yarovaya, University of Southampton
Stand by for more drama in the days ahead.
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John Hawkins, University of Canberra
Problems in yet another crypto-related company have raised further doubts about the sector.
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Environment
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Vincent Gauci, University of Birmingham
An update to the 2021 Global Methane Pledge could see tighter restrictions on oil and gas leaks.
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Pep Canadell, CSIRO; Corinne Le Quéré, University of East Anglia; Glen Peters, Center for International Climate and Environment Research - Oslo; Judith Hauck, Universität Bremen; Julia Pongratz, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich; Philippe Ciais, Commissariat à l’énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA); Pierre Friedlingstein, University of Exeter; Robbie Andrew, Center for International Climate and Environment Research - Oslo; Rob Jackson, Stanford University
At current levels of emissions, there is a 50% chance the planet will reach the 1.5℃ global average temperature rise in just nine years.
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Science + Technology
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Subhajit Basu, University of Leeds
In a viscous cycle, it’s also becoming harder to get cyberinsurance.
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