Many Melburnians are sad, angry and afraid amid their fourth lockdown in 18 months. Adding to Melburnians’ collective frustration are claims the state is more susceptible to COVID, or that they’re the nation’s “lockdown capital”. Many people have wondered if there’s something about Melbourne’s demographics or culture that encourages the spread of this virus more than other parts of Australia.

But two leading epidemiologists, Nancy Baxter and Tony Blakely from the University of Melbourne, debunk this thoroughly. They write: “Life is random, and COVID is very much so. A difference in seemingly innocuous circumstances can lead to very different outcomes”. It’s unlikely Victoria is doing anything that makes them more likely to have outbreaks leading to lockdowns, it’s more likely bad luck.

And while commentary has suggested transport, age, migrant population and other factors may explain why Victoria has struggled more with COVID outbreaks than NSW, demographer Liz Allen says actually the two states are pretty similar on these fronts.

For those in Melbourne, the question of why is currently less important than how they’ll get through it again. Jill Newby and Peter Baldwin set out some useful strategies to help you look after your mental health and well-being during this time.

And the federal government has stepped in with some financial relief for those suffering. Welfare expert Peter Whiteford explains who can get it and who misses out.

Liam Petterson

Deputy Editor, Health + Medicine

James Ross/AAP

Why do our COVID outbreaks always seem to happen in Melbourne? Randomness and bad luck

Nancy Baxter, The University of Melbourne; Tony Blakely, The University of Melbourne

Chance matters. It's unlikely Victoria is doing anything that 'makes us' more likely to have outbreaks leading to lockdowns.

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Why has Victoria struggled more than NSW with COVID? To a demographer, they’re not that different

Liz Allen, Australian National University

Recent commentary has suggested transport, age, jobs, migrant population and other factors among the reasons that may help explain the difference. What does the data say?

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Lockdowns don’t get easier the more we have them. Melbourne, here are 6 tips to help you cope

Jill Newby, UNSW; Peter Baldwin, Black Dog Institute

From the things you choose to focus on, to the support you seek from others, to the way you look after your physical health — these coping strategies could help you through Melbourne's latest lockdown.

Mick Tsikas/AAP

There’s a new temporary COVID disaster payment – who can get it? Who is missing out?

Peter Whiteford, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University

The Morrison government announced the payment on Thursday. A significant group of Australians will not be eligible to apply.

Lukas Coch/AAP

Grattan on Friday: Bringing Scott Morrison to heel

Michelle Grattan, University of Canberra

Scott Morrison operates on well-tried “whatever it takes” principle - “what it takes” in the COVID era is never-ending public money and policy flexibility, writes Michelle Grattan

The leader of the Yemina party, Naftali Bennett, who would become prime minister for two years in the new power-sharing arrangement. Yonatan Sindel/Pool/EPA

Israel’s new government doesn’t give Palestinians much hope. It could be time for a radical approach

Ian Parmeter, Australian National University

The new governing coalition will likely not further negotiations on a two-state solution. Would Palestinians consider a one-state solution instead?

from www.shutterstock.com

Yes, dogs can sniff out COVID. But not after dinner, when they need a nap

Hassan Vally, La Trobe University

Who's a good doggie? Sniffer dogs might one day be able to screen people for COVID-19 in large crowds. But not when they're hungry or need a good lie down.

A crocodile known locally as ‘Barrat’ emerges from the water of the lower Daintree River, Far North Queensland. Kevin Crook

Friday essay: reckoning with an animal that sees us as prey — living and working in crocodile country

Michael Bradley, James Cook University

For an ecologist working in a tangle of creeks in North Queensland, crocodiles are a tangible threat. We are food to them, yet we must learn to co-exist with these creatures.

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  • Don’t forget the need for zero-emission buses in the push for electric cars

    John Stone, The University of Melbourne; Iain Lawrie, The University of Melbourne; Nat Manawadu, The University of Melbourne

    Transport is the one sector where Australia hasn't reined in the growth in greenhouse gas emissions. Electric cars will cut emissions but still leave us with all the other problems of car use.

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