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Much has been made of the intelligence failure that allowed the brutal and surprising attack by the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas to catch the Israeli military off guard.

More surprising was Hamas’ ability to use bulldozers, hang gliders and motorbikes to breach and overcome sophisticated defense systems that include a 40-mile-long wall separating Israel from where the majority of Palestinians live in Gaza.

But what some military analysts did not expect was Israeli military officials’ apparent overreliance on intelligence and early detection systems.

Over the course of his career in special operations, retired U.S. Colonel Liam Collins conducted hundreds of tactical, operational and strategic missions based on intelligence. “Never once did I expect intelligence to be perfect,” Collins wrote. “In fact, it rarely was.”

More important in preparing a military defense, Collins explained, is “understanding how your enemy thinks and operates.”

And on that front, the Israeli military also appeared to struggle.

Lastly, we’ve got a special Friday the 13th news quiz today, written by University of South Carolina sociology professor and expert on superstition Barry Markovsky. Could it be your lucky week? We’ll send The Conversation stickers to the first 13 readers who send us a screenshot showing a score of 7 or 8.

Howard Manly

Race + Equity Editor

Israeli soldiers ride on a transport vehicle near Re'im, Israel, on Oct. 10, 2023. Marcus Yam/ Los Angeles Times

Intelligence failure or not, the Israeli military was unprepared to respond to Hamas’ surprise attack

Liam Collins, United States Military Academy West Point

A special forces officer explains why an overreliance on intelligence is a recipe for disaster.

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The Conversation Quiz 🧠

  • We've got a special Friday the 13th news quiz today, written by University of South Carolina sociology professor and expert on superstition Barry Markovsky.

    Here’s the first question of this week’s edition:

    I’ve written for The Conversation about Friday the 13th. The day has a bad reputation because…

    1. A. More bad things happen than expected by chance
    2. B. Parents dread weekends with their 13-year-olds
    3. C. The day-date combination functions like a cultural “meme”
    4. D. Apollo 13 exploded on a Friday
    5.  

    Test your knowledge