Iran has warned Israel of severe consequences from “multiple fronts” if it does not stop its bombardments on the Gaza Strip.
But according to Shahram Akbarzadeh, a Middle East politics expert, the Iranian regime is unlikely to enter the war directly for fear of a harsh military response from Israel, as well as the political ramifications at home.
As a result, Akbarzadeh writes, Iran has been maintaining a difficult balance between its ideological rhetoric and political expediency.
On one hand, it must keep up the anti-Israel, anti-US rhetoric that has become a staple of the hardline regime and proved popular across the Middle East.
However, the regime doesn’t want to cross any Israeli or US red lines that could provoke open hostilities and endanger its survival.
Still, this balance is difficult to maintain during a war. And Akbarzadeh says, it remains to be seen whether Iran can continue this game of brinksmanship in such a tense and explosive environment.
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Justin Bergman
International Affairs Editor
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Shahram Akbarzadeh, Deakin University
Iran’s direct entry in the Israel-Hamas war could have military and political repercussions that would prove too risky for the ruling regime.
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Michelle Grattan, University of Canberra
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Tracey Holmes, University of Canberra
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Alexander Howard, University of Sydney
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Mary Bushell, University of Canberra
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Michelle Grattan, University of Canberra
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Daisy Gibbs, Burnet Institute; Caitlin Hughes, Flinders University; Rachel Sutherland, UNSW Sydney
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Health + Medicine
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Rebecca McKenzie, Malaghan Institute of Medical Research
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Kimberley Crofts, University of Technology Sydney; Liam Phelan, University of Newcastle
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