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Israel’s war in Gaza has made things very difficult for US President Joe Biden. But this is nothing new: the Middle East has proved to be politically challenging for Biden’s predecessors, too.
So, will things change after the November US presidential election?
As Jared Mondschein, the director of research at the US Studies Centre, writes today, Biden and Donald Trump may have one thing in common: both would likely seek less US involvement in the Middle East.
Republicans and Democrats agree the US should shift its attention away from conflicts in the Middle East and towards the Indo-Pacific instead.
As Mondschein writes, this is why both the Trump administration and now Biden have built up alliances in the Middle East, such as the Abraham Accords, to make it possible for the US to take a step back.
While the Gaza war has made this difficult for the time being, the long-term goal remains the same.
A US military presence will remain important for keeping the peace. But as Mondschein says, a future US role in the region might be best described as “leading from behind” and allowing its allies to take care of their own security.
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Justin Bergman
International Affairs Editor
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Jared Mondschein, University of Sydney
The US is relying more on its alliances in the Middle East in order to pull back a bit. This will likely continue no matter who is in the White House next year.
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