(above) Image from report published by SAGE on projected epidemic trajectories for a number of different scenarios using the "Warwick model". Read the full report here

JUNIPER Consortium Newsletter
October 2021

Dear friends and associates of JUNIPER,

Welcome to this months edition of the JUNIPER consortium's newsletter. It's been a busy month for the consortium. At the start of the month Dr Helena Stage gave a talk on cluster outbreaks of SARS COV2 as part of our monthly seminar series at the Isaac Newton Institute and it's available to watch here.  JUNIPER co-investigator Professor Daniela DeAngelis who is Deputy Director and Programme Leader at the Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit at University of Cambridge was awarded a prestigious vice-chancellor award for her groups work on real time monitoring of the SARS COV2 pandemic. Finally, two groups within the consortium (University of Warwick and University of Bristol) contributed to projections of COVID-19 and the impact of potential interventions over the coming autumn/winter published by SAGE last week. Read a summary of the results here and the full reports are available here.

Events

MONTHLY SEMINAR SERIES AT ISSAC NEWTON INSTITUTE

Speaker: Professor Matt Keeling (University of Warwick, co-lead JUNIPER consortium)
Title: Roadmap 5: Booster vaccines and long-term projections
Abstract: Roadmap documents have been developed since early February 2021 to provide a set of projections showing how the gradual relaxation of restrictions and a return to pre-pandemic behaviour may impact COVID-19 dynamics. The most recent roadmap document has just been released with a long-term view of the potential outcomes over the next year. In this talk I'll review the previous roadmap documents from Warwick, with a focus on the latest insights from the most recent roadmap. I'll then consider how these projections inform about the longer-term public-health measures that may be required.
Date: 1st November 12:00pm-1:00pm (GMT)
Register here

WEEKLY SEMINAR SERIES

We have a weekly informal seminar on Wednesdays at 16:00-17:00 GMT followed by a virtual beer hour. If you are interested in attending please sign up here. 

Recent Papers & Articles

Report on projections of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and COVID-19 disease until June 2022, by members at the University of Warwick was published by SAGE. Read the report here

​Report on estimates of R number, case and death numbers for autumn/winter 2021-22 from members at the University of Bristol was published by SAGE. Read the full report here.

We are happy to be working with Plus Magazine to bring the work from consortium members to a wider audience. Check out the full list of articles here. Recent highlights include, Winter is coming: Where are we going? which you can read here​.

For a full list of outputs from the consortium, check out our website here​.

Upcoming events

Modelling Behaviour to Inform Policy for Pandemics is a four-day virtual workshop 2nd-5th November ​which forms part of the RAMP continuation work. Find out more including how to register here.

Optimal Vaccination Strategies is a one-day virtual workshop on 14th December which forms part of the RAMP continuity work. Find out more including how to register here. 

Our next research meeting will be taking place on 7th and 8th December virtually via the Isaac Newton Institute. The two day workshop will include talks from JUNIPER co-investigators on key topics such as projections of what will happen with COVID-19 over the coming year, as well as elevator pitch talks from the consortium's early career researchers. Further details to follow soon on INI website.

Thank you as always for your continued support and interest. 

- JUNIPER consortium

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Contact: Dr Ciara Dangerfield - ced57@cam.ac.uk (JUNIPER scientific programme manager)

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(above) Image from report published by SAGE on estimates for possible R numbers, cases and deaths for autumn/winter 2021/22 produced by University Bristol. Read the full report here